Trader consensus prices Aryna Sabalenka as the narrow 2026 Women's Wimbledon favorite at 22% implied probability, propelled by her world No. 1 WTA ranking, dominant 17-1 record YTD including two titles, and fresh Miami Open WTA 1000 semifinal upset of Elena Rybakina. The race stays tightly bunched with Iga Świątek (18.2%) leveraging overall consistency despite her early Miami exit to Magda Linette, and Rybakina (15.5%) drawing from her Australian Open major win over Sabalenka plus 2022 Wimbledon grass-court triumph. Victoria Mboko's surprising 9% reflects breakout deep runs to AO third round and Miami quarters, underscoring grass's upset-prone nature and the four-month wait for the surface swing where big-serving powerhouses hold edges but field parity persists amid ranking volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAryna Sabalenka 22%
Iga Świątek 17.8%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Victoria Mboko 8.8%
$2,688,531 Vol.
$2,688,531 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
22%
Iga Świątek
18%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Victoria Mboko
9%
Coco Gauff
6%
Clara Tauson
4%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 22%
Iga Świątek 17.8%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Victoria Mboko 8.8%
$2,688,531 Vol.
$2,688,531 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
22%
Iga Świątek
18%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Victoria Mboko
9%
Coco Gauff
6%
Clara Tauson
4%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Aryna Sabalenka as the narrow 2026 Women's Wimbledon favorite at 22% implied probability, propelled by her world No. 1 WTA ranking, dominant 17-1 record YTD including two titles, and fresh Miami Open WTA 1000 semifinal upset of Elena Rybakina. The race stays tightly bunched with Iga Świątek (18.2%) leveraging overall consistency despite her early Miami exit to Magda Linette, and Rybakina (15.5%) drawing from her Australian Open major win over Sabalenka plus 2022 Wimbledon grass-court triumph. Victoria Mboko's surprising 9% reflects breakout deep runs to AO third round and Miami quarters, underscoring grass's upset-prone nature and the four-month wait for the surface swing where big-serving powerhouses hold edges but field parity persists amid ranking volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions