Trader consensus crowns Aryna Sabalenka the 25.5% implied probability favorite for the 2026 Wimbledon women's title amid a wide-open field, fueled by her ascent to world No. 1 and epic Indian Wells victory two weeks ago over Elena Rybakina in a three-set final, showcasing her booming serve and aggressive baseline game primed for grass courts. Rybakina (16%), the 2022 champion, lurks close with her flat, penetrating strokes thriving on low bounces, bolstered by a strong Sunshine Double despite the recent runner-up finish. Defending 2025 champion Iga Świątek (16.4%) remains competitive post her dominant grass breakthrough last year, though her slide to No. 3 reflects hard-court form dips. Rising Canadian Victoria Mboko (8.5%), now No. 9 after deep Sunshine Double runs including a quarterfinal loss to Sabalenka, emerges as a key differentiator via breakout momentum and youth.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAryna Sabalenka 25%
Iga Świątek 16.5%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Victoria Mboko 8.5%
$3,530,595 Vol.
$3,530,595 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
25%
Iga Świątek
17%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Victoria Mboko
9%
Coco Gauff
6%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Clara Tauson
3%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Paula Badosa
1%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Ons Jabeur
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 25%
Iga Świątek 16.5%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Victoria Mboko 8.5%
$3,530,595 Vol.
$3,530,595 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
25%
Iga Świątek
17%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Victoria Mboko
9%
Coco Gauff
6%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Clara Tauson
3%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Paula Badosa
1%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Ons Jabeur
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus crowns Aryna Sabalenka the 25.5% implied probability favorite for the 2026 Wimbledon women's title amid a wide-open field, fueled by her ascent to world No. 1 and epic Indian Wells victory two weeks ago over Elena Rybakina in a three-set final, showcasing her booming serve and aggressive baseline game primed for grass courts. Rybakina (16%), the 2022 champion, lurks close with her flat, penetrating strokes thriving on low bounces, bolstered by a strong Sunshine Double despite the recent runner-up finish. Defending 2025 champion Iga Świątek (16.4%) remains competitive post her dominant grass breakthrough last year, though her slide to No. 3 reflects hard-court form dips. Rising Canadian Victoria Mboko (8.5%), now No. 9 after deep Sunshine Double runs including a quarterfinal loss to Sabalenka, emerges as a key differentiator via breakout momentum and youth.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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