Trader consensus favors Aryna Sabalenka at 28.5% implied probability for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon title, propelled by her Sunshine Double triumph—edging Elena Rybakina in a thriller final at Indian Wells before defeating Coco Gauff in Miami—cementing her World No. 1 ranking and showcasing her booming serve suited to grass. Rybakina, 2026 Australian Open champion and 2022 Wimbledon winner, trails closely at 15.5% with her flat-hitting power thriving on fast turf, despite recent finals losses to Sabalenka. Iga Świątek's 16.4% reflects overall dominance but persistent grass-court struggles, historically 17-7 lifetime. The wide-open field highlights surface history, rankings momentum, and health as key differentiators among contenders like resurgent Amanda Anisimova amid a healthy top tier.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAryna Sabalenka 29%
Iga Świątek 16.3%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Coco Gauff 6%
$4,358,781 Vol.
$4,358,781 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
29%
Iga Świątek
16%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Coco Gauff
6%
Amanda Anisimova
5%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Emma Raducanu
4%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Clara Tauson
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Dayana Yastremska
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Karolína Muchová
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Barbora Krejčíková
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Tatjana Maria
<1%
Sonay Kartal
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Xinyu Wang
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 29%
Iga Świątek 16.3%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Coco Gauff 6%
$4,358,781 Vol.
$4,358,781 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
29%
Iga Świątek
16%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Coco Gauff
6%
Amanda Anisimova
5%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Emma Raducanu
4%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Clara Tauson
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Dayana Yastremska
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Karolína Muchová
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Barbora Krejčíková
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Tatjana Maria
<1%
Sonay Kartal
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Xinyu Wang
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Aryna Sabalenka at 28.5% implied probability for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon title, propelled by her Sunshine Double triumph—edging Elena Rybakina in a thriller final at Indian Wells before defeating Coco Gauff in Miami—cementing her World No. 1 ranking and showcasing her booming serve suited to grass. Rybakina, 2026 Australian Open champion and 2022 Wimbledon winner, trails closely at 15.5% with her flat-hitting power thriving on fast turf, despite recent finals losses to Sabalenka. Iga Świątek's 16.4% reflects overall dominance but persistent grass-court struggles, historically 17-7 lifetime. The wide-open field highlights surface history, rankings momentum, and health as key differentiators among contenders like resurgent Amanda Anisimova amid a healthy top tier.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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