Trader consensus on the 2026 Miami Open winner reflects a hyper-competitive ATP Masters 1000 futures market, with top implied probabilities tightly clustered around 46-47% for Alejandro Tabilo, Tommy Paul, Quentin Halys, and Sebastian Korda due to their recent hardcourt surges amid top-seed vulnerabilities. Tabilo's Houston title and Halys' upsets signal breakout potential, while Paul and Korda's U.S. pedigree offers home-crowd momentum on familiar Miami courts. Lower odds for Alcaraz (41.5%) and Sinner (41%) stem from injury histories and grueling schedules, underscoring the wisdom of crowds pricing in upset risks, rest advantages, and peaking form over rankings in this Sunshine Double capstone.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor do Miami Open Masculino de 2026
Vencedor do Miami Open Masculino de 2026
Tommy Paul 92%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry 92%
Sebastian Korda 89%
Raphael Collignon 83%
$207,556 Vol.
$207,556 Vol.
Tommy Paul
92%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
92%
Sebastian Korda
89%
Raphael Collignon
83%
Brandon Nakashima
81%
Terence Atmane
81%
Marin Cilic
72%
Gabriel Diallo
50%
Quentin Halys
50%
Ugo Humbert
49%
Kamil Majchrzak
49%
Martin Damm
49%
Jiri Lehecka
47%
Arthur Cazaux
47%
Alejandro Tabilo
47%
Marton Fucsovics
46%
Francisco Cerundolo
45%
Alex Michelsen
45%
Corentin Moutet
44%
Ethan Quinn
44%
Frances Tiafoe
42%
Carlos Alcaraz
42%
Jannik Sinner
41%
Arthur Fils
41%
Cameron Norrie
38%
Karen Khachanov
35%
Valentin Vacherot
31%
Damir Dzumhur
30%
Matteo Berrettini
20%
Taylor Fritz
18%
Jakub Mensik
16%
Andrey Rublev
9%
Ben Shelton
8%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
7%
Rei Sakamoto
3%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Learner Tien
2%
Tomas Machac
2%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1%
Zizou Bergs
<1%
Arthur Rinderknech
-
Tommy Paul 92%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry 92%
Sebastian Korda 89%
Raphael Collignon 83%
$207,556 Vol.
$207,556 Vol.
Tommy Paul
92%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
92%
Sebastian Korda
89%
Raphael Collignon
83%
Brandon Nakashima
81%
Terence Atmane
81%
Marin Cilic
72%
Gabriel Diallo
50%
Quentin Halys
50%
Ugo Humbert
49%
Kamil Majchrzak
49%
Martin Damm
49%
Jiri Lehecka
47%
Arthur Cazaux
47%
Alejandro Tabilo
47%
Marton Fucsovics
46%
Francisco Cerundolo
45%
Alex Michelsen
45%
Corentin Moutet
44%
Ethan Quinn
44%
Frances Tiafoe
42%
Carlos Alcaraz
42%
Jannik Sinner
41%
Arthur Fils
41%
Cameron Norrie
38%
Karen Khachanov
35%
Valentin Vacherot
31%
Damir Dzumhur
30%
Matteo Berrettini
20%
Taylor Fritz
18%
Jakub Mensik
16%
Andrey Rublev
9%
Ben Shelton
8%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
7%
Rei Sakamoto
3%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Learner Tien
2%
Tomas Machac
2%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1%
Zizou Bergs
<1%
Arthur Rinderknech
-
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 12, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Miami Open (https://www.miamiopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 21, 2026, 10:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the 2026 Miami Open winner reflects a hyper-competitive ATP Masters 1000 futures market, with top implied probabilities tightly clustered around 46-47% for Alejandro Tabilo, Tommy Paul, Quentin Halys, and Sebastian Korda due to their recent hardcourt surges amid top-seed vulnerabilities. Tabilo's Houston title and Halys' upsets signal breakout potential, while Paul and Korda's U.S. pedigree offers home-crowd momentum on familiar Miami courts. Lower odds for Alcaraz (41.5%) and Sinner (41%) stem from injury histories and grueling schedules, underscoring the wisdom of crowds pricing in upset risks, rest advantages, and peaking form over rankings in this Sunshine Double capstone.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions