Carlos Alcaraz leads trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability for the 2026 French Open title, buoyed by his World No. 1 ranking, two-time defending champion status at Roland Garros, and strong clay-court history including recent Monte Carlo defense, despite an Indian Wells semifinal exit. Jannik Sinner trails closely at 32.5%, propelled by his flawless Indian Wells Masters 1000 victory without dropping a set two weeks ago and ongoing Miami contention for the Sunshine Double, signaling rising clay potential despite a lighter Roland Garros resume. Novak Djokovic's odds sit at 3.4% amid a right shoulder injury forcing withdrawals from Miami and yesterday's Monte Carlo pullout, while Alexander Zverev matches that price on consistent clay form but lacks the duo's Slam-winning momentum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoCarlos Alcaraz 41%
Jannik Sinner 33%
Alexander Zverev 3.4%
Novak Djokovic 3.4%
$1,525,827 Vol.
$1,525,827 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
41%
Jannik Sinner
33%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Novak Djokovic
3%
Lorenzo Musetti
3%
Arthur Fils
2%
Casper Ruud
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Sebastian Korda
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Tomas Machac
1%
Alex De Minaur
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Learner Tien
1%
Denis Shapovalov
<1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Marin Cilic
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Jan-Lennard Struff
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Reilly Opelka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Carlos Alcaraz 41%
Jannik Sinner 33%
Alexander Zverev 3.4%
Novak Djokovic 3.4%
$1,525,827 Vol.
$1,525,827 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
41%
Jannik Sinner
33%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Novak Djokovic
3%
Lorenzo Musetti
3%
Arthur Fils
2%
Casper Ruud
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Sebastian Korda
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Tomas Machac
1%
Alex De Minaur
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Learner Tien
1%
Denis Shapovalov
<1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Marin Cilic
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Jan-Lennard Struff
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Reilly Opelka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Carlos Alcaraz leads trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability for the 2026 French Open title, buoyed by his World No. 1 ranking, two-time defending champion status at Roland Garros, and strong clay-court history including recent Monte Carlo defense, despite an Indian Wells semifinal exit. Jannik Sinner trails closely at 32.5%, propelled by his flawless Indian Wells Masters 1000 victory without dropping a set two weeks ago and ongoing Miami contention for the Sunshine Double, signaling rising clay potential despite a lighter Roland Garros resume. Novak Djokovic's odds sit at 3.4% amid a right shoulder injury forcing withdrawals from Miami and yesterday's Monte Carlo pullout, while Alexander Zverev matches that price on consistent clay form but lacks the duo's Slam-winning momentum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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