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Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

Market icon

Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

Espanha 16.4%

França 12.6%

Inglaterra 12.4%

Argentina 9.4%

Polymarket

$452,524,671 Vol.

Espanha 16.4%

França 12.6%

Inglaterra 12.4%

Argentina 9.4%

Polymarket

$452,524,671 Vol.

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Espanha

$6,375,706 Vol.

16%

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França

$5,131,123 Vol.

13%

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Inglaterra

$7,209,608 Vol.

12%

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Argentina

$7,287,224 Vol.

9%

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Brasil

$6,796,863 Vol.

9%

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Portugal

$8,400,143 Vol.

7%

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Alemanha

$6,976,535 Vol.

5%

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Holanda

$9,335,543 Vol.

3%

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Noruega

$7,545,677 Vol.

3%

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Bélgica

$7,681,243 Vol.

2%

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Colômbia

$7,155,456 Vol.

2%

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Japão

$9,095,910 Vol.

2%

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EUA

$4,733,487 Vol.

2%

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Marrocos

$9,000,736 Vol.

2%

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Suíça

$8,663,819 Vol.

1%

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Uruguai

$7,580,705 Vol.

1%

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Croácia

$7,980,608 Vol.

1%

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México

$6,790,755 Vol.

1%

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Equador

$9,027,604 Vol.

1%

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Senegal

$8,311,861 Vol.

1%

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Equipe AA

$302,901 Vol.

1%

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Canadá

$11,882,227 Vol.

1%

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Áustria

$10,481,329 Vol.

1%

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Coreia do Sul

$13,613,770 Vol.

<1%

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Paraguai

$11,780,171 Vol.

<1%

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Costa do Marfim

$9,159,084 Vol.

<1%

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Egito

$10,757,337 Vol.

<1%

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Gana

$10,340,117 Vol.

<1%

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Argélia

$11,112,089 Vol.

<1%

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Escócia

$11,194,218 Vol.

<1%

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Tunísia

$11,295,502 Vol.

<1%

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Austrália

$8,245,488 Vol.

<1%

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Arábia Saudita

$17,673,615 Vol.

<1%

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Haiti

$12,578,286 Vol.

<1%

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Jordânia

$16,611,188 Vol.

<1%

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Irã

$11,696,927 Vol.

<1%

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Panamá

$1,587,391 Vol.

<1%

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África do Sul

$19,584,077 Vol.

<1%

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Cabo Verde

$10,603,793 Vol.

<1%

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Catar

$13,500,260 Vol.

<1%

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Nova Zelândia

$16,964,642 Vol.

<1%

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Curaçao

$23,976,381 Vol.

<1%

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Uzbequistão

$27,626,180 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup title at 16.4% implied probability, bolstered by their dominant UEFA qualifiers and Euro 2024 triumph with stars like Yamal and Pedri in peak form, though midfield injury doubts linger for Merino and Ruiz. France (12.8%) and England (12.4%) trail closely after navigating tough qualification paths amid mounting injury crises—Mbappé's ankle sprain, Bellingham and Foden sidelined for England—yet recent friendlies like France's 2-1 win over Brazil signal resilience. Defending champions Argentina (9.3%) and Brazil (8.6%) face depth questions with Messi's age and Neymar's fitness woes, while the expanded 48-team format, finalized playoff results (DR Congo, Iraq advance), and competitive group draws keep the race tight, rewarding depth and momentum in the group stage and knockouts.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$452,524,671
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup title at 16.4% implied probability, bolstered by their dominant UEFA qualifiers and Euro 2024 triumph with stars like Yamal and Pedri in peak form, though midfield injury doubts linger for Merino and Ruiz. France (12.8%) and England (12.4%) trail closely after navigating tough qualification paths amid mounting injury crises—Mbappé's ankle sprain, Bellingham and Foden sidelined for England—yet recent friendlies like France's 2-1 win over Brazil signal resilience. Defending champions Argentina (9.3%) and Brazil (8.6%) face depth questions with Messi's age and Neymar's fitness woes, while the expanded 48-team format, finalized playoff results (DR Congo, Iraq advance), and competitive group draws keep the race tight, rewarding depth and momentum in the group stage and knockouts.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$452,524,671
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 45+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Espanha" at 16%, followed by "França" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " has generated $452.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 ," browse the 45+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " is "Espanha" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "França" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.