Arsenal leads trader consensus at 34% implied probability for the 2025-2026 FA Cup, fueled by their dominant Premier League position and robust squad depth under Mikel Arteta, including recent extensions for key defenders like Saliba. Manchester City follows at 23.5%, bolstered by defending champions' pedigree and Guardiola's tactical edge despite midseason dips. Chelsea's 17.5% reflects squad youth and Enzo Maresca's momentum from cup progress this term. Liverpool lags at 13% amid Arne Slot transition uncertainties and fixture congestion. Lower-tier bids like Leeds (5.3%) stem from Championship promotion push, while dark horses West Ham and Southampton ride mid-table stability and potential upsets in early rounds. Odds capture crowd wisdom on elite firepower trumping lower-division grit.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoArsenal 35%
Manchester City 24%
Chelsea 18%
Liverpool 14%
$134,166 Vol.
$134,166 Vol.
Arsenal
35%
Manchester City
24%
Chelsea
18%
Liverpool
14%
West Ham United
6%
Leeds United AFC
5%
Southampton
2%
Port Vale
1%
Arsenal 35%
Manchester City 24%
Chelsea 18%
Liverpool 14%
$134,166 Vol.
$134,166 Vol.
Arsenal
35%
Manchester City
24%
Chelsea
18%
Liverpool
14%
West Ham United
6%
Leeds United AFC
5%
Southampton
2%
Port Vale
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 22, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arsenal leads trader consensus at 34% implied probability for the 2025-2026 FA Cup, fueled by their dominant Premier League position and robust squad depth under Mikel Arteta, including recent extensions for key defenders like Saliba. Manchester City follows at 23.5%, bolstered by defending champions' pedigree and Guardiola's tactical edge despite midseason dips. Chelsea's 17.5% reflects squad youth and Enzo Maresca's momentum from cup progress this term. Liverpool lags at 13% amid Arne Slot transition uncertainties and fixture congestion. Lower-tier bids like Leeds (5.3%) stem from Championship promotion push, while dark horses West Ham and Southampton ride mid-table stability and potential upsets in early rounds. Odds capture crowd wisdom on elite firepower trumping lower-division grit.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions