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USD.AI predictions & odds

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Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

16%

$19.8K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

9%

$80.4K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

9

Ends in 11 months

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

36%

8

$1M Vol.

$67.0K today

$123K Liq.

34

Ends in 8 months

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

48%

800–900B

$21.0K Vol.

$34.3K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

38%

4.50% to 4.99%

$41.2K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

60%

0

$1M Vol.

$36.1K Liq.

9

Ends in 11 months

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

38%

Tulsi Gabbard

$11.7K Vol.

$37.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$71.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?

Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?

2%

$15.2K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

10

Ends in about 1 month

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

24%

$1M Vol.

$19.3K Liq.

66

Ends in 9 months

Counter-Strike: TNC vs Sashi Academy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

Counter-Strike: TNC vs Sashi Academy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

100%

Sashi Academy

$608 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs Brute (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs Brute (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

100%

Brute

$34.7K Vol.

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

64%

$568K Vol.

$24.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

61%

1.10–1.14ºC

$58.6K Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11PM ET

Down

$106K Vol.

$0 Liq.

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

67%

2nd hottest

$104K Vol.

$53.8K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

23%

$33.6K Vol.

$480 Liq.

9

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

14%

July 31

$937K Vol.

$19.4K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like USD.AI.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for USD.AI that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Major US official out by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US recession by end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 77% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on USD.AI predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.