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Ayatollah Khamenei predictions & odds

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Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

3%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$44.5K Liq.

65

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

4%

May 31

$2M Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

169

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

88%

<5

$10.6K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

45%

<5

$1.4K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Khamenei # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

69%

<5

$288 Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

2%

May 31

$433K Vol.

$20.0K Liq.

10

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

65%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$8M Vol.

$192K today

$2M Liq.

107

Ends in 8 months

What will Trump say this week? (May 24)

What will Trump say this week? (May 24)

93%

China

$2.9K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

86%

Giorgia Meloni

$483K Vol.

$136K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

34%

December 31

$14M Vol.

$90.5K today

$209K Liq.

1,079

Ends in 8 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

1%

$21M Vol.

$613K today

$945K Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

9%

$579K Vol.

$37.7K Liq.

25

Ends in 8 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

5%

$40M Vol.

$235K today

$753K Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

17%

$18M Vol.

$239K today

$563K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

7%

$1M Vol.

$108K Liq.

38

Ends in 8 months

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

48%

June 30

$18M Vol.

$320K today

$222K Liq.

474

Ends in about 1 month

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

13%

December 31

$18M Vol.

$323K Liq.

387

Ends in about 1 month

Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?

Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?

13%

$38.2K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

8%

$1M Vol.

$39.9K Liq.

23

Ends in about 1 month

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

5%

Any U.S. House member

$390K Vol.

$119K Liq.

4

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 110 active markets for Ayatollah Khamenei that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $144.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

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As of today, the most active market is “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 96% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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