Skip to main content
icon for Sumasang - ayon ang Iran na wakasan ang pagpapayaman ng uranium sa Hunyo 30?

Sumasang - ayon ang Iran na wakasan ang pagpapayaman ng uranium sa Hunyo 30?

icon for Sumasang - ayon ang Iran na wakasan ang pagpapayaman ng uranium sa Hunyo 30?

Sumasang - ayon ang Iran na wakasan ang pagpapayaman ng uranium sa Hunyo 30?

Oo

<1% tsansa
Polymarket

$12,362,414 Vol.

Oo

<1% tsansa
Polymarket

$12,362,414 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations produced a preliminary framework agreement on June 15, 2026, focused on extending a ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and deferring detailed nuclear talks—including uranium enrichment levels and the disposition of Iran's highly enriched stockpile—for a subsequent 60-day period. The memorandum is slated for formalization around June 19 in Switzerland, with provisions for IAEA-supervised down-blending or removal of material, yet Iran continues to assert its right to enrichment under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty while rejecting permanent zero-enrichment demands. U.S. statements emphasize stockpile removal and verification mechanisms, but core gaps on future enrichment capacity remain unresolved before the June 30 deadline. This tight timeline and competing red lines sustain a closely balanced trader consensus around even odds for any agreement explicitly ending enrichment by month-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.

Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.

An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.

Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$12,362,414
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Na-propose ang outcome: Hindi

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Hindi

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations produced a preliminary framework agreement on June 15, 2026, focused on extending a ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and deferring detailed nuclear talks—including uranium enrichment levels and the disposition of Iran's highly enriched stockpile—for a subsequent 60-day period. The memorandum is slated for formalization around June 19 in Switzerland, with provisions for IAEA-supervised down-blending or removal of material, yet Iran continues to assert its right to enrichment under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty while rejecting permanent zero-enrichment demands. U.S. statements emphasize stockpile removal and verification mechanisms, but core gaps on future enrichment capacity remain unresolved before the June 30 deadline. This tight timeline and competing red lines sustain a closely balanced trader consensus around even odds for any agreement explicitly ending enrichment by month-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.

Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.

An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.

Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$12,362,414
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Na-propose ang outcome: Hindi

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Hindi

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Sumasang - ayon ang Iran na wakasan ang pagpapayaman ng uranium sa Hunyo 30?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 2 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Sumang-ayon ba ang Iran na itigil ang pagpapaunlad ng uranium bago mag-Hunyo 30?" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 0¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 0% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Sumasang - ayon ang Iran na wakasan ang pagpapayaman ng uranium sa Hunyo 30?" ay naka-generate ng $12.4 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Feb 12, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Sumasang - ayon ang Iran na wakasan ang pagpapayaman ng uranium sa Hunyo 30?," i-browse ang 2 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Isa itong wide-open market. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna para sa "Sumasang - ayon ang Iran na wakasan ang pagpapayaman ng uranium sa Hunyo 30?" ay "Sumang-ayon ba ang Iran na itigil ang pagpapaunlad ng uranium bago mag-Hunyo 30?" sa 0% lang. Walang outcome na may malakas na mayorya, kaya nakikita ito ng mga trader bilang highly uncertain, na maaaring magbigay ng mga kakaibang trading opportunity. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time, kaya i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para panoorin kung paano nag-e-evolve ang probabilities.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Sumasang - ayon ang Iran na wakasan ang pagpapayaman ng uranium sa Hunyo 30?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.