Hike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27?

szansa

Yes

NOWE

No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

98%

No change

Hike 25 bps

$55K Wol.

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

4.25%

15%

Yes15%No85%

≤2.5%

15%

Yes15%No85%

4.25%

15%

Yes15%No85%

≤2.5%

15%

Yes15%No85%

$26K Wol.

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

December 31

16%

Yes16%No84%

November 30

Yes6%No94%

December 31

16%

Yes16%No84%

November 30

Yes6%No94%

$13K Wol.

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

74%

szansa

Yes

$1M Wol.

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

December 31

November 30

December 31

November 30

$32K Wol.

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

szansa

Yes

$30K Wol.

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

June 30, 2027

10%

Yes10%No91%

December 31, 2026

Yes2%No98%

June 30, 2027

10%

Yes10%No91%

December 31, 2026

Yes2%No98%

$50K Wol.

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

2 (50 bps)

71%

Yes71%No29%

1 (25 bps)

22%

Yes22%No79%

2 (50 bps)

71%

Yes71%No29%

1 (25 bps)

22%

Yes22%No79%

$1M Wol.

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

December 31

October 31

December 31

October 31

$37K Wol.

Jaka będzie stawka Fed pod koniec 2026 roku?

4,25%

70%

Tak.70%Nie.30%

4,0%

17%

Tak.17%Nie.83%

4,25%

70%

Tak.70%Nie.30%

4,0%

17%

Tak.17%Nie.83%

$7M Wol.

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

szansa

Yes

NOWE

Jerome Powell federally charged by...? card icon

Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?

szansa

Yes

$320K Wol.

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…? card icon

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

10%

szansa

Yes

$470K Wol.

Stawka Fed obniżona o...?

July 2027 Meeting

Yes50%No50%

April 2027 Meeting

30%

Yes30%No71%

July 2027 Meeting

Yes50%No50%

April 2027 Meeting

30%

Yes30%No71%

$4M Wol.

Co Fed Rate osiągnie przed 2027 r.?

↑ 4,25%

74%

Tak.74%Nie.26%

↑ 4,5%

16%

Tak.16%Nie.84%

↑ 4,25%

74%

Tak.74%Nie.26%

↑ 4,5%

16%

Tak.16%Nie.84%

$2M Wol.

Ile obniżek stawek Fed w 2026 r.?

0 (0 pb)

96%

Tak.96%Nie.4%

1 (25 pb)

Tak.1%Nie.99%

0 (0 pb)

96%

Tak.96%Nie.4%

1 (25 pb)

Tak.1%Nie.99%

$55M Wol.

Nowe

Hike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27?

No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Jaka będzie stawka Fed pod koniec 2026 roku?

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Stawka Fed obniżona o...?

Co Fed Rate osiągnie przed 2027 r.?

Ile obniżek stawek Fed w 2026 r.?