President Donald Trump's potential endorsements in key 2026 Republican primaries, particularly the Texas Senate GOP runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, are shaping trader consensus, with Paxton shares trading at 56% implied probability of Trump's backing versus Cornyn's 18%. Trump vowed a post-March 4 primary endorsement but has held off for over six weeks amid Paxton's demands for Senate passage of the SAVE America Act on immigration and internal GOP pressures from Majority Leader Thune favoring Cornyn. A recent Truth Social re-endorsement of Steve Hilton for California governor four days ago lifted that outcome to 96%, while Lindsey Graham's SC-Sen backing resolved at 100%. The Texas runoff, slated for late May, remains the pivotal upcoming event that could shift odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$135,292 Wol.

Steve Hilton - CA-Gov
96%

Ken Paxton - TX-Sen
51%

Susan Collins - ME-Sen
70%

Andy Barr - KY-Sen
16%

John Cornyn - TX-Sen
18%
$135,292 Wol.

Steve Hilton - CA-Gov
96%

Ken Paxton - TX-Sen
51%

Susan Collins - ME-Sen
70%

Andy Barr - KY-Sen
16%

John Cornyn - TX-Sen
18%
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2025, 4:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's potential endorsements in key 2026 Republican primaries, particularly the Texas Senate GOP runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, are shaping trader consensus, with Paxton shares trading at 56% implied probability of Trump's backing versus Cornyn's 18%. Trump vowed a post-March 4 primary endorsement but has held off for over six weeks amid Paxton's demands for Senate passage of the SAVE America Act on immigration and internal GOP pressures from Majority Leader Thune favoring Cornyn. A recent Truth Social re-endorsement of Steve Hilton for California governor four days ago lifted that outcome to 96%, while Lindsey Graham's SC-Sen backing resolved at 100%. The Texas runoff, slated for late May, remains the pivotal upcoming event that could shift odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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