Domestic abuse allegations against incumbent Republican Max Miller, stemming from his custody battle and made public in summer 2026, have sharply eroded his support in Ohio’s 7th district. Multiple Republicans, including family members, urged him to withdraw before the ballot deadline, but he remained in the race, prompting forecasters to shift the seat from likely Republican to toss-up. Democrat Brian Poindexter, a union ironworker who won his primary, has capitalized by focusing on affordability, healthcare access, and constituent services while airing ads that highlight the controversy. Recent polling shows Poindexter ahead or statistically tied, and prediction markets reflect trader consensus that the scandal has positioned the challenger as the heavy favorite ahead of the November 3 general election.