Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs "No Bond chosen" at a 72.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' cautious approach to casting the iconic 007, as reaffirmed at CinemaCon in mid-April 2026 when executives emphasized proceeding with "care and deep respect" amid production delays pushing Bond 26 filming to late 2026 for a potential 2028 release. No official announcement has materialized five years post-Daniel Craig's exit, tempering expectations for near-term news. Callum Turner holds frontrunner status among candidates at 9%, fueled by his surging profile from Masters of the Air and persistent unconfirmed rumors he dismissed in February; Jacob Elordi's 3.4% reflects fresh early-May reports positioning him in "pole position," though guild-like precursor signals remain absent. Lower odds for Aaron Taylor-Johnson and others highlight rumor volatility absent studio confirmation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNastępny aktor James Bond?
Następny aktor James Bond?
Nie wybrano Bonda 73%
Callum Turner 9.0%
Jacob Elordi 3.4%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 1.0%
$2,170,696 Wol.
$2,170,696 Wol.
Nie wybrano Bonda
73%
Callum Turner
9%
Jacob Elordi
3%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%
Tom Holland
1%
Harris Dickinson
1%
Tom Hardy
1%
James Norton
<1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Henry Cavill
<1%
Jack Lowdon
<1%
Theo James
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Josh O'Connor
<1%
Nie wybrano Bonda 73%
Callum Turner 9.0%
Jacob Elordi 3.4%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 1.0%
$2,170,696 Wol.
$2,170,696 Wol.
Nie wybrano Bonda
73%
Callum Turner
9%
Jacob Elordi
3%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%
Tom Holland
1%
Harris Dickinson
1%
Tom Hardy
1%
James Norton
<1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Henry Cavill
<1%
Jack Lowdon
<1%
Theo James
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Josh O'Connor
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs "No Bond chosen" at a 72.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' cautious approach to casting the iconic 007, as reaffirmed at CinemaCon in mid-April 2026 when executives emphasized proceeding with "care and deep respect" amid production delays pushing Bond 26 filming to late 2026 for a potential 2028 release. No official announcement has materialized five years post-Daniel Craig's exit, tempering expectations for near-term news. Callum Turner holds frontrunner status among candidates at 9%, fueled by his surging profile from Masters of the Air and persistent unconfirmed rumors he dismissed in February; Jacob Elordi's 3.4% reflects fresh early-May reports positioning him in "pole position," though guild-like precursor signals remain absent. Lower odds for Aaron Taylor-Johnson and others highlight rumor volatility absent studio confirmation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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