This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early-stage casting search for the next James Bond, officially confirmed by Amazon MGM Studios in mid-May 2026 with veteran casting director Nina Gold leading auditions, drives the overwhelming 88.5% market-implied probability on “No Bond chosen.” With the process still wide open and no frontrunner emerging despite buzz around Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, Harris Dickinson, and Aaron Taylor-Johnson, traders see little near-term resolution. Recent Variety reports on initial auditions, including stage actor Tom Francis, underscore the deliberate pace and emphasis on finding a fresh face, while bookmakers’ shifting odds among the listed contenders reflect ongoing speculation without confirmed momentum. Key upcoming catalysts include further audition updates or guild-adjacent industry signals that could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The early-stage casting search for the next James Bond, officially confirmed by Amazon MGM Studios in mid-May 2026 with veteran casting director Nina Gold leading auditions, drives the overwhelming 88.5% market-implied probability on “No Bond chosen.” With the process still wide open and no frontrunner emerging despite buzz around Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, Harris Dickinson, and Aaron Taylor-Johnson, traders see little near-term resolution. Recent Variety reports on initial auditions, including stage actor Tom Francis, underscore the deliberate pace and emphasis on finding a fresh face, while bookmakers’ shifting odds among the listed contenders reflect ongoing speculation without confirmed momentum. Key upcoming catalysts include further audition updates or guild-adjacent industry signals that could shift sentiment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
May 14 2026
Amazon MGM Studios officially begins casting auditions for next James Bond
Amazon MGM Studios announced that auditions for the next James Bond actor have officially started, with casting director Nina Gold leading the search. This formal casting process marked a key milestone in the market's anticipation of the next Bond.
May 4 2026
Jacob Elordi suffers foot injury amid James Bond casting speculation
Jacob Elordi dips to 4%1%
Jacob Elordi's foot injury raised concerns about potential delays or impact on his chances to be cast as James Bond, causing a slight drop in his market odds.
Apr 15 2026
Amazon MGM Studios urges patience on James Bond casting announcement
Amazon MGM Studios executives publicly urged fans to be patient regarding the casting announcement for the next James Bond, emphasizing the care and respect being taken in the process. This statement tempered market expectations and contributed to the high probability that no Bond had been chosen yet.
Apr 1 2026
Euronews reveals Jacob Elordi as next James Bond amid ongoing speculation
Euronews Culture officially revealed Jacob Elordi as the next James Bond, confirming widespread rumors and speculation. This announcement influenced market prices, though no formal studio confirmation was made at the time.
Apr 1 2026
Official reveal of next James Bond actor after years of speculation
No Bond chosen jumps to 89%14%
After years of rumors and speculation, the identity of the next James Bond was officially revealed, ending the market uncertainty and speculation.
Jan 23 2026
Jacob Elordi reportedly in advanced talks for James Bond role
Jacob Elordi surges to 22%15%
Reports surfaced that Jacob Elordi had met with director Denis Villeneuve and producers, suggesting he was in advanced talks for the role. This news boosted his market position significantly.
Jan 7 2026
Reports claim Jacob Elordi is frontrunner for next James Bond after meetings with Villeneuve
Jacob Elordi plunges to 22%28%
Multiple sources reported that Jacob Elordi had met with director Denis Villeneuve and Amazon executives, positioning him as the frontrunner for the role. This news caused a surge in market interest and betting odds favoring Elordi.
Dec 4 2025
Reports claim Callum Turner has landed the role of James Bond
The Daily Mail reported that Callum Turner has been telling friends he is the new James Bond, intensifying rumors and speculation. This news caused a spike in market interest and betting odds favoring Turner.
Dec 4 2025
Callum Turner emerges as favorite for next James Bond amid rumors
Rumors intensified that Callum Turner was the leading candidate for the next James Bond, fueled by reports of his alignment with director Denis Villeneuve and Amazon's reboot plans. Bookmakers shortened his odds significantly, reflecting growing market confidence in his casting.
Nov 23 2025
Aaron Taylor-Johnson debuts new look sparking Bond casting buzz
Aaron Taylor-Johnson rises to 10%3%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson's new look at the London Film Festival reignited speculation about his suitability for James Bond, briefly boosting his market odds before they declined again.
Nov 23 2025
Aaron Taylor-Johnson hints at being next James Bond
Aaron Taylor-Johnson rises to 14%4%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson appeared to drop a hint about becoming the next James Bond, which briefly influenced market sentiment though no official confirmation was made.
Oct 20 2025
Tom Holland ruled out as next James Bond due to Marvel contract
Tom Holland drops to 1%9%
Reports emerged that Tom Holland's contract with Marvel prevents him from playing other superhero roles, effectively ruling him out as the next James Bond. This led to a sharp decline in his market odds.
Oct 19 2025
Tom Holland ruled out as next James Bond due to Marvel contract
Tom Holland drops to 1%6%
Reports emerged that Tom Holland could not be cast as James Bond because his Marvel contract prohibits him from taking roles that overshadow his Spider-Man character. This news led to a sharp decline in his market odds.
Sep 4 2025
Amazon MGM Studios announces Denis Villeneuve as director for next James Bond film
Denis Villeneuve was officially announced as the director of the next James Bond film, signaling a new creative direction under Amazon MGM Studios. This announcement sparked speculation about the casting of a fresh face for Bond, influencing market interest in potential actors.
Aug 5 2025
Callum Turner emerges as bookmakers' favorite for next James Bond
Callum Turner jumps to 50%6%
Callum Turner became the leading name in the race to be the next James Bond, with bookmakers slashing odds in his favor. This surge was linked to his rising profile and engagement to Dua Lipa, sparking increased betting activity and market confidence in his casting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early-stage casting search for the next James Bond, officially confirmed by Amazon MGM Studios in mid-May 2026 with veteran casting director Nina Gold leading auditions, drives the overwhelming 88.5% market-implied probability on “No Bond chosen.” With the process still wide open and no frontrunner emerging despite buzz around Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, Harris Dickinson, and Aaron Taylor-Johnson, traders see little near-term resolution. Recent Variety reports on initial auditions, including stage actor Tom Francis, underscore the deliberate pace and emphasis on finding a fresh face, while bookmakers’ shifting odds among the listed contenders reflect ongoing speculation without confirmed momentum. Key upcoming catalysts include further audition updates or guild-adjacent industry signals that could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The early-stage casting search for the next James Bond, officially confirmed by Amazon MGM Studios in mid-May 2026 with veteran casting director Nina Gold leading auditions, drives the overwhelming 88.5% market-implied probability on “No Bond chosen.” With the process still wide open and no frontrunner emerging despite buzz around Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, Harris Dickinson, and Aaron Taylor-Johnson, traders see little near-term resolution. Recent Variety reports on initial auditions, including stage actor Tom Francis, underscore the deliberate pace and emphasis on finding a fresh face, while bookmakers’ shifting odds among the listed contenders reflect ongoing speculation without confirmed momentum. Key upcoming catalysts include further audition updates or guild-adjacent industry signals that could shift sentiment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
May 14 2026
Amazon MGM Studios officially begins casting auditions for next James Bond
Amazon MGM Studios announced that auditions for the next James Bond actor have officially started, with casting director Nina Gold leading the search. This formal casting process marked a key milestone in the market's anticipation of the next Bond.
May 4 2026
Jacob Elordi suffers foot injury amid James Bond casting speculation
Jacob Elordi dips to 4%1%
Jacob Elordi's foot injury raised concerns about potential delays or impact on his chances to be cast as James Bond, causing a slight drop in his market odds.
Apr 15 2026
Amazon MGM Studios urges patience on James Bond casting announcement
Amazon MGM Studios executives publicly urged fans to be patient regarding the casting announcement for the next James Bond, emphasizing the care and respect being taken in the process. This statement tempered market expectations and contributed to the high probability that no Bond had been chosen yet.
Apr 1 2026
Euronews reveals Jacob Elordi as next James Bond amid ongoing speculation
Euronews Culture officially revealed Jacob Elordi as the next James Bond, confirming widespread rumors and speculation. This announcement influenced market prices, though no formal studio confirmation was made at the time.
Apr 1 2026
Official reveal of next James Bond actor after years of speculation
No Bond chosen jumps to 89%14%
After years of rumors and speculation, the identity of the next James Bond was officially revealed, ending the market uncertainty and speculation.
Jan 23 2026
Jacob Elordi reportedly in advanced talks for James Bond role
Jacob Elordi surges to 22%15%
Reports surfaced that Jacob Elordi had met with director Denis Villeneuve and producers, suggesting he was in advanced talks for the role. This news boosted his market position significantly.
Jan 7 2026
Reports claim Jacob Elordi is frontrunner for next James Bond after meetings with Villeneuve
Jacob Elordi plunges to 22%28%
Multiple sources reported that Jacob Elordi had met with director Denis Villeneuve and Amazon executives, positioning him as the frontrunner for the role. This news caused a surge in market interest and betting odds favoring Elordi.
Dec 4 2025
Reports claim Callum Turner has landed the role of James Bond
The Daily Mail reported that Callum Turner has been telling friends he is the new James Bond, intensifying rumors and speculation. This news caused a spike in market interest and betting odds favoring Turner.
Dec 4 2025
Callum Turner emerges as favorite for next James Bond amid rumors
Rumors intensified that Callum Turner was the leading candidate for the next James Bond, fueled by reports of his alignment with director Denis Villeneuve and Amazon's reboot plans. Bookmakers shortened his odds significantly, reflecting growing market confidence in his casting.
Nov 23 2025
Aaron Taylor-Johnson debuts new look sparking Bond casting buzz
Aaron Taylor-Johnson rises to 10%3%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson's new look at the London Film Festival reignited speculation about his suitability for James Bond, briefly boosting his market odds before they declined again.
Nov 23 2025
Aaron Taylor-Johnson hints at being next James Bond
Aaron Taylor-Johnson rises to 14%4%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson appeared to drop a hint about becoming the next James Bond, which briefly influenced market sentiment though no official confirmation was made.
Oct 20 2025
Tom Holland ruled out as next James Bond due to Marvel contract
Tom Holland drops to 1%9%
Reports emerged that Tom Holland's contract with Marvel prevents him from playing other superhero roles, effectively ruling him out as the next James Bond. This led to a sharp decline in his market odds.
Oct 19 2025
Tom Holland ruled out as next James Bond due to Marvel contract
Tom Holland drops to 1%6%
Reports emerged that Tom Holland could not be cast as James Bond because his Marvel contract prohibits him from taking roles that overshadow his Spider-Man character. This news led to a sharp decline in his market odds.
Sep 4 2025
Amazon MGM Studios announces Denis Villeneuve as director for next James Bond film
Denis Villeneuve was officially announced as the director of the next James Bond film, signaling a new creative direction under Amazon MGM Studios. This announcement sparked speculation about the casting of a fresh face for Bond, influencing market interest in potential actors.
Aug 5 2025
Callum Turner emerges as bookmakers' favorite for next James Bond
Callum Turner jumps to 50%6%
Callum Turner became the leading name in the race to be the next James Bond, with bookmakers slashing odds in his favor. This surge was linked to his rising profile and engagement to Dua Lipa, sparking increased betting activity and market confidence in his casting.
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"Następny aktor James Bond?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 15 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Nie wybrano Bonda" z 89%, za nim "Aaron Taylor-Johnson" z 3%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 89¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 89% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.
Na dzień dzisiejszy "Następny aktor James Bond?" wygenerował $3 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Aug 4, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.
Aby handlować na "Następny aktor James Bond?", przeglądaj 15 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.
Obecnym faworytem dla "Następny aktor James Bond?" jest "Nie wybrano Bonda" z 89%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 89% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Aaron Taylor-Johnson" z 3%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.
Zasady rozstrzygania "Następny aktor James Bond?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.
Tak. Nie musisz handlować, aby być na bieżąco. Ta strona służy jako tracker na żywo dla "Następny aktor James Bond?". Prawdopodobieństwa wyników aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym z każdą nową transakcją. Możesz dodać tę stronę do zakładek i sprawdzić sekcję komentarzy, aby zobaczyć, co myślą inni traderzy. Możesz też użyć filtrów zakresu czasu na wykresie, aby zobaczyć, jak kursy zmieniały się w czasie. To darmowe, działające w czasie rzeczywistym okno na to, czego rynek oczekuje.
Kursy Polymarket ustalane są przez prawdziwych traderów stawiających prawdziwe pieniądze za swoimi przekonaniami, co zwykle prowadzi do trafnych prognoz. Z $3 million wolumenu na "Następny aktor James Bond?", ceny te agregują zbiorową wiedzę i zaangażowanie tysięcy uczestników — często przewyższając sondaże, prognozy ekspertów i tradycyjne badania. Rynki prognoz jak Polymarket mają silną historię trafności, szczególnie gdy wydarzenia zbliżają się do rozstrzygnięcia. Na przykład, Polymarket ma miesięczny wynik trafności 94%. Najnowsze statystyki trafności prognoz Polymarket znajdziesz na stronie trafności na Polymarket.
Aby złożyć swoje pierwsze zlecenie na "Następny aktor James Bond?", zarejestruj darmowe konto Polymarket i doładuj je kryptowalutą, kartą kredytową lub debetową albo przelewem bankowym. Po doładowaniu konta wróć na tę stronę, wybierz wynik, na który chcesz handlować, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli jesteś nowy w rynkach prognoz, kliknij link "Jak to działa" na górze dowolnej strony Polymarket, aby zobaczyć szybki przewodnik krok po kroku.
Na Polymarket cena każdego wyniku reprezentuje implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Cena 89¢ za "Nie wybrano Bonda" na rynku "Następny aktor James Bond?" oznacza, że traderzy zbiorowo wierzą, iż istnieje w przybliżeniu 89% szansy na to, że "Nie wybrano Bonda" będzie poprawnym wynikiem. Jeśli kupisz udziały "Tak" po 89¢ i wynik jest poprawny, otrzymasz $1.00 za udział — zysk 11¢ za udział. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, te udziały są warte $0.
Rynek "Następny aktor James Bond?" jest zaplanowany na rozstrzygnięcie około Jun 30, 2026. Handel pozostaje otwarty, a kursy będą się zmieniać w miarę pojawiania się nowych informacji. Dokładny czas rozstrzygnięcia zależy od tego, kiedy oficjalny wynik stanie się dostępny, zgodnie z sekcją "Zasady" na tej stronie.
Rynek "Następny aktor James Bond?" ma aktywną społeczność z 28 komentarzami, gdzie traderzy dzielą się swoimi analizami, debatują nad wynikami i omawiają najnowsze wydarzenia. Przewiń w dół do sekcji komentarzy, aby przeczytać, co myślą inni uczestnicy. Możesz też filtrować według "Najwięksi posiadacze", aby zobaczyć, na co postawiły największe portfele rynku, lub sprawdzić zakładkę "Aktywność" dla transmisji transakcji na żywo.
Polymarket to największy na świecie rynek prognoz, na którym możesz być na bieżąco i czerpać zyski ze swojej wiedzy o wydarzeniach w świecie rzeczywistym. Traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały w wynikach tematów od polityki i wyborów po kryptowaluty, finanse, sport, technologię i kulturę, w tym rynki takie jak "Następny aktor James Bond?". Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym poparte finansowym zaangażowaniem, często dostarczając szybsze i trafniejsze sygnały niż sondaże, komentatorzy czy tradycyjne badania.
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