Avengers: Doomsday commands the strongest trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability due to its December 18 holiday release, massive MCU event status with Robert Downey Jr. returning as Doctor Doom alongside other high-profile stars, and overwhelming industry tracking that positions it as a potential record-breaking opener. Recent post-production updates and insider polls have reinforced this momentum, echoing historical patterns for Avengers films. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 28% on its July 31 date and solid early trailer response, though it lacks equivalent event-level hype. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, which already posted a strong $132 million domestic debut in April, sits at just 4.5% as later releases now dominate expectations. Key upcoming catalysts include further marketing pushes and any date shifts that could intensify competition.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 14%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 7.8%
Toy Story 5 1.9%
$21,102 Wol.
$21,102 Wol.
Avengers: Doomsday
74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
37%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
8%
Toy Story 5
2%
Dune: Messiah
1%
The Odyssey
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 14%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 7.8%
Toy Story 5 1.9%
$21,102 Wol.
$21,102 Wol.
Avengers: Doomsday
74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
37%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
8%
Toy Story 5
2%
Dune: Messiah
1%
The Odyssey
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday commands the strongest trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability due to its December 18 holiday release, massive MCU event status with Robert Downey Jr. returning as Doctor Doom alongside other high-profile stars, and overwhelming industry tracking that positions it as a potential record-breaking opener. Recent post-production updates and insider polls have reinforced this momentum, echoing historical patterns for Avengers films. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 28% on its July 31 date and solid early trailer response, though it lacks equivalent event-level hype. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, which already posted a strong $132 million domestic debut in April, sits at just 4.5% as later releases now dominate expectations. Key upcoming catalysts include further marketing pushes and any date shifts that could intensify competition.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania