**Avengers: Doomsday** holds a narrow market edge for the second-biggest 2026 domestic opening weekend because its December 18 release carries the strongest pre-sales momentum and franchise scale among remaining contenders, while **Spider-Man: Brand New Day**’s already-completed $360 million debut has locked in the year’s top spot. Traders see Doomsday benefiting from Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, the Russo brothers’ return, and early ticket demand that outpaces prior MCU events, positioning it to challenge historical benchmarks in the $260–300 million range. The same-weekend arrival of **Dune: Messiah** creates direct competition for screens and audiences, yet the market assigns it minimal probability, reflecting confidence in Marvel’s broader appeal. Earlier 2026 releases such as **Toy Story 5** and **The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping** trail significantly in projections, and the cluster of other films at similar odds underscores how holiday timing, marketing intensity, and word-of-mouth will determine whether Doomsday pulls clear or faces an upset from another late-year blockbuster.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 52%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 47%
Dune: Messiah <1%
Toy Story 5 <1%
$108,454 Wol.
$108,454 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
52%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
47%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Toy Story 5
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 52%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 47%
Dune: Messiah <1%
Toy Story 5 <1%
$108,454 Wol.
$108,454 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$43,654 Wol.
52%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$54,467 Wol.
47%
Dune: Messiah
$5,892 Wol.
<1%
Toy Story 5
$2,679 Wol.
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$482 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday** holds a narrow market edge for the second-biggest 2026 domestic opening weekend because its December 18 release carries the strongest pre-sales momentum and franchise scale among remaining contenders, while **Spider-Man: Brand New Day**’s already-completed $360 million debut has locked in the year’s top spot. Traders see Doomsday benefiting from Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, the Russo brothers’ return, and early ticket demand that outpaces prior MCU events, positioning it to challenge historical benchmarks in the $260–300 million range. The same-weekend arrival of **Dune: Messiah** creates direct competition for screens and audiences, yet the market assigns it minimal probability, reflecting confidence in Marvel’s broader appeal. Earlier 2026 releases such as **Toy Story 5** and **The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping** trail significantly in projections, and the cluster of other films at similar odds underscores how holiday timing, marketing intensity, and word-of-mouth will determine whether Doomsday pulls clear or faces an upset from another late-year blockbuster.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
Wolumen
$108,454Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday** holds a narrow market edge for the second-biggest 2026 domestic opening weekend because its December 18 release carries the strongest pre-sales momentum and franchise scale among remaining contenders, while **Spider-Man: Brand New Day**’s already-completed $360 million debut has locked in the year’s top spot. Traders see Doomsday benefiting from Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, the Russo brothers’ return, and early ticket demand that outpaces prior MCU events, positioning it to challenge historical benchmarks in the $260–300 million range. The same-weekend arrival of **Dune: Messiah** creates direct competition for screens and audiences, yet the market assigns it minimal probability, reflecting confidence in Marvel’s broader appeal. Earlier 2026 releases such as **Toy Story 5** and **The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping** trail significantly in projections, and the cluster of other films at similar odds underscores how holiday timing, marketing intensity, and word-of-mouth will determine whether Doomsday pulls clear or faces an upset from another late-year blockbuster.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Wolumen
$108,454Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Avengers: Doomsday** holds a narrow market edge for the second-biggest 2026 domestic opening weekend because its December 18 release carries the strongest pre-sales momentum and franchise scale among remaining contenders, while **Spider-Man: Brand New Day**’s already-completed $360 million debut has locked in the year’s top spot. Traders see Doomsday benefiting from Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, the Russo brothers’ return, and early ticket demand that outpaces prior MCU events, positioning it to challenge historical benchmarks in the $260–300 million range. The same-weekend arrival of **Dune: Messiah** creates direct competition for screens and audiences, yet the market assigns it minimal probability, reflecting confidence in Marvel’s broader appeal. Earlier 2026 releases such as **Toy Story 5** and **The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping** trail significantly in projections, and the cluster of other films at similar odds underscores how holiday timing, marketing intensity, and word-of-mouth will determine whether Doomsday pulls clear or faces an upset from another late-year blockbuster.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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