Trader consensus favors Democrat Aaron Ford at 57.5% over incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo at 42.5% for the November 3 general election, despite late March polls like Noble Predictive Insights (Lombardo 39%, Ford 38%) and KTNV (Lombardo 40%, Ford 37%) showing a statistical dead heat with 20-23% undecided amid tightening dynamics. Ford leads the Democratic primary at 48%, while Lombardo dominates the GOP field at 60% ahead of the June 9 primaries and early voting starting May 23. Markets diverge from polling averages and ratings (Cook Toss-up, Sabato Lean Republican), pricing in Nevada's battleground volatility, Democratic legislative supermajority, high Clark County turnout potential, and undecided voter shifts as key factors that could tip the balance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNevada Governor Election Winner
Nevada Governor Election Winner
$20,953 Wol.
$20,953 Wol.

Democrat
57%

Republican
43%
$20,953 Wol.
$20,953 Wol.

Democrat
57%

Republican
43%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Democrat Aaron Ford at 57.5% over incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo at 42.5% for the November 3 general election, despite late March polls like Noble Predictive Insights (Lombardo 39%, Ford 38%) and KTNV (Lombardo 40%, Ford 37%) showing a statistical dead heat with 20-23% undecided amid tightening dynamics. Ford leads the Democratic primary at 48%, while Lombardo dominates the GOP field at 60% ahead of the June 9 primaries and early voting starting May 23. Markets diverge from polling averages and ratings (Cook Toss-up, Sabato Lean Republican), pricing in Nevada's battleground volatility, Democratic legislative supermajority, high Clark County turnout potential, and undecided voter shifts as key factors that could tip the balance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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