Incumbent Mike Thompson and challenger Eric Jones lead trader consensus to advance from California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, reflecting their fundraising dominance—Thompson with $2.6 million cash on hand and Jones $1.5 million as of March 31 filings—dwarfing Republican rivals. The Democratic Party of California endorsed Thompson, while Our Revolution backed Jones, in a D+17 district where the top-two system typically sends two Democrats to the November general amid narrower post-2025 redistricting margins. No public polls exist, but low Republican cash signals barriers; early ballots mail soon, with voter turnout key in wine country North Bay battleground.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$20,755 Wol.
Jun 2, 2026
Mike Thompson
99%
Eric Jones
95%
Trevor Merrell
15%
Heath Fulkerson
9%
Sharon Brown
6%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
3%
John Wesley Tyler
45%
$20,755 Wol.
Mike Thompson
$6,502 Wol.
99%
Eric Jones
$4,052 Wol.
95%
Trevor Merrell
$6,288 Wol.
15%
Heath Fulkerson
$252 Wol.
9%
Sharon Brown
$1,605 Wol.
6%
Mandy Ghusar
$728 Wol.
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
$710 Wol.
3%
John Wesley Tyler
$618 Wol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Mike Thompson and challenger Eric Jones lead trader consensus to advance from California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, reflecting their fundraising dominance—Thompson with $2.6 million cash on hand and Jones $1.5 million as of March 31 filings—dwarfing Republican rivals. The Democratic Party of California endorsed Thompson, while Our Revolution backed Jones, in a D+17 district where the top-two system typically sends two Democrats to the November general amid narrower post-2025 redistricting margins. No public polls exist, but low Republican cash signals barriers; early ballots mail soon, with voter turnout key in wine country North Bay battleground.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Wolumen
$20,755Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Mike Thompson and challenger Eric Jones lead trader consensus to advance from California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, reflecting their fundraising dominance—Thompson with $2.6 million cash on hand and Jones $1.5 million as of March 31 filings—dwarfing Republican rivals. The Democratic Party of California endorsed Thompson, while Our Revolution backed Jones, in a D+17 district where the top-two system typically sends two Democrats to the November general amid narrower post-2025 redistricting margins. No public polls exist, but low Republican cash signals barriers; early ballots mail soon, with voter turnout key in wine country North Bay battleground.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$20,755Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Mike Thompson and challenger Eric Jones lead trader consensus to advance from California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, reflecting their fundraising dominance—Thompson with $2.6 million cash on hand and Jones $1.5 million as of March 31 filings—dwarfing Republican rivals. The Democratic Party of California endorsed Thompson, while Our Revolution backed Jones, in a D+17 district where the top-two system typically sends two Democrats to the November general amid narrower post-2025 redistricting margins. No public polls exist, but low Republican cash signals barriers; early ballots mail soon, with voter turnout key in wine country North Bay battleground.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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