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Polityka·São Tomé

São Tomé and Príncipe Presidential Election Winner

icon for São Tomé and Príncipe Presidential Election Winner
Polityka·São Tomé

São Tomé and Príncipe Presidential Election Winner

Carlos Vila Nova 100.0%

Nito Abreu <1%

Jorge Bom Jesus <1%

Nino Monteiro <1%

Polymarket

$145,516 Wol.

Carlos Vila Nova 100.0%

Nito Abreu <1%

Jorge Bom Jesus <1%

Nino Monteiro <1%

Polymarket

$145,516 Wol.

icon for Nito Abreu

Nito Abreu

$31,965 Wol.

No

icon for Jorge Bom Jesus

Jorge Bom Jesus

$11,732 Wol.

No

icon for Carlos Vila Nova

Carlos Vila Nova

$96,318 Wol.

Yes

icon for Nino Monteiro

Nino Monteiro

$1,573 Wol.

No

icon for Elsa Pinto

Elsa Pinto

$3,928 Wol.

No

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.São Tomé and Príncipe’s July 19, 2026 presidential election features a fragmented field of more than two dozen candidates, including incumbent Carlos Vila Nova running independently, ADI’s Nito Abreu, MLSTP-linked Elsa Pinto, independent former prime minister Jorge Bom Jesus, and Nino Monteiro backed by Movimento Independente dos Cidadãos/Partido Socialista. Internal party tensions—such as ADI’s decision to bypass Vila Nova and MLSTP divisions—have prevented any contender from consolidating broad support ahead of the first-round vote. Recent developments include MLSTP’s reported backing of Vila Nova and signals that Bom Jesus may withdraw, yet the absence of consolidated coalitions or decisive polling keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. A potential August runoff and last-minute endorsements or campaign momentum could separate frontrunners in the final weeks.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
Wolumen
$145,516
Data zakończenia
Jul 19, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jun 23, 2026, 9:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.

Wynik zaproponowany: Yes

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: Yes

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.São Tomé and Príncipe’s July 19, 2026 presidential election features a fragmented field of more than two dozen candidates, including incumbent Carlos Vila Nova running independently, ADI’s Nito Abreu, MLSTP-linked Elsa Pinto, independent former prime minister Jorge Bom Jesus, and Nino Monteiro backed by Movimento Independente dos Cidadãos/Partido Socialista. Internal party tensions—such as ADI’s decision to bypass Vila Nova and MLSTP divisions—have prevented any contender from consolidating broad support ahead of the first-round vote. Recent developments include MLSTP’s reported backing of Vila Nova and signals that Bom Jesus may withdraw, yet the absence of consolidated coalitions or decisive polling keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. A potential August runoff and last-minute endorsements or campaign momentum could separate frontrunners in the final weeks.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
Wolumen
$145,516
Data zakończenia
Jul 19, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jun 23, 2026, 9:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.

Wynik zaproponowany: Yes

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: Yes

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Często zadawane pytania

"São Tomé and Príncipe Presidential Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 5 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Carlos Vila Nova" z 100%, za nim "Nito Abreu" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "São Tomé and Príncipe Presidential Election Winner" wygenerował $145.5K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jun 23, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "São Tomé and Príncipe Presidential Election Winner", przeglądaj 5 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "São Tomé and Príncipe Presidential Election Winner" jest "Carlos Vila Nova" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Nito Abreu" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "São Tomé and Príncipe Presidential Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.