**Netanyahu remains fully engaged as Likud leader in the October 27 Knesset election, with recent polling showing his bloc near 52-55 seats and no public signals of withdrawal.** He continues campaign activities focused on national security and positioning against rivals such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, while pursuing alliances to maximize seats in a fragmented field where neither major bloc appears positioned for a clear 61-seat majority. Israeli law allows the outgoing government to continue as caretaker until a new coalition forms, reinforcing incentives for continuity through election day. The near-term timeline leaves little room for an abrupt exit absent a major unforeseen development such as a sudden health issue or binding legal ruling that alters candidacy status. Trader consensus at 95%+ reflects the absence of any credible indicators of withdrawal and Netanyahu’s established pattern of contesting elections to the end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoView resolved

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