Skip to main content
icon for CA-48 Primary Winners
Polityka·Prawybory

CA-48 Primary Winners

icon for CA-48 Primary Winners
Polityka·Prawybory

CA-48 Primary Winners

NOWE
Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket

$4,609 Wol.

Polymarket

Jim Desmond

$963 Wol.

98%

Ammar Campa-Najjar

$716 Wol.

66%

Kevin O'Neil

$405 Wol.

37%

Eric Shaw

$394 Wol.

27%

Brandon Riker

$526 Wol.

13%

Mike Schaefer

$41 Wol.

6%

Corinna Contreras

$183 Wol.

6%

Abel Chavez

$269 Wol.

3%

Ferguson Porter

$281 Wol.

2%

Luis Reyna

$249 Wol.

2%

Stephen Clemons

$158 Wol.

2%

Marni von Wilpert

$423 Wol.

57%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 48th Congressional District primary on June 2 features a nonpartisan top-two system in an open seat following Darrell Issa's retirement, with the district's redrawn boundaries creating a narrow Democratic lean. Republican Jim Desmond, endorsed by the former incumbent and President Trump, leads recent polling as the strongest contender to advance, benefiting from consolidated support in a less crowded field. On the Democratic side, a fragmented field including Ammar Campa-Najjar, Marni von Wilpert, and Brandon Riker risks splitting votes, potentially allowing two Republicans to advance or leaving Democrats to consolidate behind a single nominee for November. Key factors include recent delegate voting at the state party convention, fundraising disparities, and the impact of local endorsements on turnout among San Diego and Riverside County voters ahead of the primary deadline.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$4,609
Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 48th Congressional District primary on June 2 features a nonpartisan top-two system in an open seat following Darrell Issa's retirement, with the district's redrawn boundaries creating a narrow Democratic lean. Republican Jim Desmond, endorsed by the former incumbent and President Trump, leads recent polling as the strongest contender to advance, benefiting from consolidated support in a less crowded field. On the Democratic side, a fragmented field including Ammar Campa-Najjar, Marni von Wilpert, and Brandon Riker risks splitting votes, potentially allowing two Republicans to advance or leaving Democrats to consolidate behind a single nominee for November. Key factors include recent delegate voting at the state party convention, fundraising disparities, and the impact of local endorsements on turnout among San Diego and Riverside County voters ahead of the primary deadline.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$4,609
Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"CA-48 Primary Winners" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 12 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Jim Desmond" z 98%, za nim "Ammar Campa-Najjar" z 66%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 98¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 98% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"CA-48 Primary Winners" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Apr 22, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "CA-48 Primary Winners", przeglądaj 12 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "CA-48 Primary Winners" jest "Jim Desmond" z 98%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 98% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Ammar Campa-Najjar" z 66%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "CA-48 Primary Winners" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.