Dan Green secured the Republican nomination for Florida's 9th congressional district in the August 18, 2026 primary, finishing with 25.4% of the vote in a seven-candidate field and narrowly ahead of Ben Butler. Traders assign him near-certain probability due to certified results and projections from outlets including Decision Desk HQ, reflecting endorsements from figures such as Jim Jordan and fundraising momentum in the newly redrawn district. Other candidates, including veterans Marcus Carter and Steve Rance, received minimal support. Late recounts or certification disputes remain possible in close primaries, though current vote margins and rapid projections limit realistic paths for reversal before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDan Green 100.0%
Marcus Carter <1%
Thomas Chalifoux <1%
Jorge Malavet <1%
$191,207 Wol.
$191,207 Wol.
Aug 17, 2026
Marcus Carter
No
Thomas Chalifoux
No
Jorge Malavet
No
Howard Steven Rance
No
Justin Story
No
Ben Butler
No
Dan Green
Yes
Jorge Martinez
No
Steve Rance
No
Dan Green 100.0%
Marcus Carter <1%
Thomas Chalifoux <1%
Jorge Malavet <1%
$191,207 Wol.
$191,207 Wol.
Aug 17, 2026
Marcus Carter
$2,955 Wol.
No
Thomas Chalifoux
$62,915 Wol.
No
Jorge Malavet
$5,021 Wol.
No
Howard Steven Rance
$10,668 Wol.
No
Justin Story
$12,109 Wol.
No
Ben Butler
$43,845 Wol.
No
Dan Green
$31,520 Wol.
Yes
Jorge Martinez
$20,665 Wol.
No
Steve Rance
$1,509 Wol.
No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Green secured the Republican nomination for Florida's 9th congressional district in the August 18, 2026 primary, finishing with 25.4% of the vote in a seven-candidate field and narrowly ahead of Ben Butler. Traders assign him near-certain probability due to certified results and projections from outlets including Decision Desk HQ, reflecting endorsements from figures such as Jim Jordan and fundraising momentum in the newly redrawn district. Other candidates, including veterans Marcus Carter and Steve Rance, received minimal support. Late recounts or certification disputes remain possible in close primaries, though current vote margins and rapid projections limit realistic paths for reversal before market resolution.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Wolumen
$191,207Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Green secured the Republican nomination for Florida's 9th congressional district in the August 18, 2026 primary, finishing with 25.4% of the vote in a seven-candidate field and narrowly ahead of Ben Butler. Traders assign him near-certain probability due to certified results and projections from outlets including Decision Desk HQ, reflecting endorsements from figures such as Jim Jordan and fundraising momentum in the newly redrawn district. Other candidates, including veterans Marcus Carter and Steve Rance, received minimal support. Late recounts or certification disputes remain possible in close primaries, though current vote margins and rapid projections limit realistic paths for reversal before market resolution.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$191,207Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Dan Green secured the Republican nomination for Florida's 9th congressional district in the August 18, 2026 primary, finishing with 25.4% of the vote in a seven-candidate field and narrowly ahead of Ben Butler. Traders assign him near-certain probability due to certified results and projections from outlets including Decision Desk HQ, reflecting endorsements from figures such as Jim Jordan and fundraising momentum in the newly redrawn district. Other candidates, including veterans Marcus Carter and Steve Rance, received minimal support. Late recounts or certification disputes remain possible in close primaries, though current vote margins and rapid projections limit realistic paths for reversal before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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