South Carolina's selection as the first state on the 2028 Democratic primary calendar has elevated its importance, with the state's large Black voter base and early January timing shaping early positioning. No major candidates have formally entered the race, leaving a crowded field where national polling leaders like Kamala Harris hold modest edges in hypothetical matchups but face competition from figures such as Jon Ossoff, Gavin Newsom, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty through closely divided probabilities, driven by the absence of declarations, shifting voter priorities on issues like the economy and healthcare, and the potential for endorsements or state-specific outreach to create separation ahead of the 2028 contest.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKamala Harris 14%
Jon Ossoff 11%
Raphael Warnock 9%
Michelle Obama 7.8%
$12,523 Wol.
$12,523 Wol.

Kamala Harris
14%

Jon Ossoff
11%

Raphael Warnock
9%

Michelle Obama
8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7%

J.B. Pritzker
7%

Jon Stewart
6%

Mark Kelly
6%

Gavin Newsom
5%

Josh Shapiro
5%

Ro Khanna
5%

Cory Booker
5%

Andy Beshear
4%

Wes Moore
4%

Rahm Emanuel
4%

Stephen A. Smith
4%

Bernie Sanders
2%

James Talarico
2%

Roy Cooper
1%

Pete Buttigieg
1%
Kamala Harris 14%
Jon Ossoff 11%
Raphael Warnock 9%
Michelle Obama 7.8%
$12,523 Wol.
$12,523 Wol.

Kamala Harris
14%

Jon Ossoff
11%

Raphael Warnock
9%

Michelle Obama
8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7%

J.B. Pritzker
7%

Jon Stewart
6%

Mark Kelly
6%

Gavin Newsom
5%

Josh Shapiro
5%

Ro Khanna
5%

Cory Booker
5%

Andy Beshear
4%

Wes Moore
4%

Rahm Emanuel
4%

Stephen A. Smith
4%

Bernie Sanders
2%

James Talarico
2%

Roy Cooper
1%

Pete Buttigieg
1%
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention.
If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 30, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention.
If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...South Carolina's selection as the first state on the 2028 Democratic primary calendar has elevated its importance, with the state's large Black voter base and early January timing shaping early positioning. No major candidates have formally entered the race, leaving a crowded field where national polling leaders like Kamala Harris hold modest edges in hypothetical matchups but face competition from figures such as Jon Ossoff, Gavin Newsom, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty through closely divided probabilities, driven by the absence of declarations, shifting voter priorities on issues like the economy and healthcare, and the potential for endorsements or state-specific outreach to create separation ahead of the 2028 contest.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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