California's 48th congressional district shifted toward Democrats following redistricting under Proposition 50, creating a lean Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near D+2. Incumbent Republican Darrell Issa retired ahead of the 2026 midterms, opening the race. In the June 2 primary, Republican Jim Desmond and Democrat Marni von Wilpert advanced to the general election on November 3. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Lean or Tilt Democratic. These structural factors and the absence of a Republican incumbent drive trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome while leaving room for shifts based on campaign dynamics or turnout.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-48 House Election Winner
CA-48 House Election Winner
$12,641 Wol.
$12,641 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
15%
$12,641 Wol.
$12,641 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,385 Wol.
86%
Republican Party
$6,256 Wol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 48th congressional district shifted toward Democrats following redistricting under Proposition 50, creating a lean Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near D+2. Incumbent Republican Darrell Issa retired ahead of the 2026 midterms, opening the race. In the June 2 primary, Republican Jim Desmond and Democrat Marni von Wilpert advanced to the general election on November 3. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Lean or Tilt Democratic. These structural factors and the absence of a Republican incumbent drive trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome while leaving room for shifts based on campaign dynamics or turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$12,641Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 48th congressional district shifted toward Democrats following redistricting under Proposition 50, creating a lean Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near D+2. Incumbent Republican Darrell Issa retired ahead of the 2026 midterms, opening the race. In the June 2 primary, Republican Jim Desmond and Democrat Marni von Wilpert advanced to the general election on November 3. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Lean or Tilt Democratic. These structural factors and the absence of a Republican incumbent drive trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome while leaving room for shifts based on campaign dynamics or turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$12,641Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 48th congressional district shifted toward Democrats following redistricting under Proposition 50, creating a lean Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near D+2. Incumbent Republican Darrell Issa retired ahead of the 2026 midterms, opening the race. In the June 2 primary, Republican Jim Desmond and Democrat Marni von Wilpert advanced to the general election on November 3. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Lean or Tilt Democratic. These structural factors and the absence of a Republican incumbent drive trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome while leaving room for shifts based on campaign dynamics or turnout.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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