Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days?
Oorlog·Politiek

Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days?

Yes

$34.6K Vol.

$0 Liq.

7

Will Iran or Pakistan declare war against the other in January?
Oorlog·Politiek

Will Iran or Pakistan declare war against the other in January?

No

$10.3K Vol.

$0 Liq.

3

Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023?
Oorlog·Politiek

Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023?

No

$57.4K Vol.

$0 Liq.

13

Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict?
Oorlog·Politiek

Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict?

No

$97.3K Vol.

$0 Liq.

18

Will US attack Iran by Nov 30?
Oorlog·Politiek

Will US attack Iran by Nov 30?

No

$15.2K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Will Iran officially join the war before February?
Oorlog·Politiek

Will Iran officially join the war before February?

No

$63.9K Vol.

$0 Liq.

3

US/Iran declare war before March?
Oorlog·Politiek

US/Iran declare war before March?

No

$62.0K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30?
Oorlog·Politiek

Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30?

No

$22.4K Vol.

$0 Liq.

5

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8?
Oorlog·Politiek

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8?

Yes

$66.3K Vol.

$0 Liq.

5

Oorlog·Politiek

Will Iran officially join the war in 2023?

No

$28.1K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30?
Oorlog·Politiek

Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30?

No

$62.5K Vol.

$0 Liq.

12

Will US attack Iran in 2023?
Oorlog·Politiek

Will US attack Iran in 2023?

No

$8.1K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?
Oorlog·Politiek

Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?

No

$1M Vol.

38

U.S. military action against Iran before November?
Oorlog·Politiek

U.S. military action against Iran before November?

No

$1M Vol.

51

Israel military action against Iran in August?
Oorlog·Politiek

Israel military action against Iran in August?

No

$242K Vol.

14

Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before October?
Oorlog·Politiek

Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before October?

No

$137K Vol.

10

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?
Oorlog·Politiek

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

No

$4M Vol.

139

Iran strike on US military in August?
Oorlog·Politiek

Iran strike on US military in August?

No

$111K Vol.

Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
Oorlog·Politiek

Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?

No

$2M Vol.

1,881

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?
Oorlog·Politiek

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?

No

$972K Vol.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Oorlog.

Polymarket currently hosts 56 active markets for Oorlog that lets you track or trade on predictions like "Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $10.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Oorlog predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.