White House confirmation in late March rescheduled President Trump's summit with Xi Jinping to Beijing on May 14-15, elevating trader odds for mid-May dates amid U.S.-China diplomacy on trade and Iran tensions, yet keeping May 13 (34%) and May 14 (26%) in a tight contest due to uncertainty over exact arrival and departure itineraries. The 22.5% no-visit-by-May-31 probability reflects risks of further delays from the ongoing U.S.-Iran war, which prompted the prior postponement, and lacks of itinerary details. Recent preparatory trips by Trump allies and his public anticipation sustain momentum, but an official schedule release, escalation signals, or cancellation could decisively shift probabilities before the end of April.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트May 13 34%
May 14 28%
No visit by May 31 22%
May 16 4.1%
신규
$48,218 거래량
신규
$48,218 거래량
2026.05.31
On or prior to May 1
1%
May 2
<1%
May 3
<1%
May 4
<1%
May 5
<1%
May 6
<1%
May 7
<1%
May 8
1%
May 9
1%
May 10
<1%
May 11
<1%
May 12
1%
May 13
34%
May 14
28%
May 15
4%
May 16
4%
May 17
<1%
May 18
1%
May 19
<1%
May 20
<1%
May 21
1%
May 22
1%
May 23
<1%
May 24
<1%
May 25
<1%
May 26
<1%
May 27
<1%
May 28
<1%
May 29
1%
May 30
<1%
May 31
1%
No visit by May 31
22%
May 13 34%
May 14 28%
No visit by May 31 22%
May 16 4.1%
신규
$48,218 거래량
신규
$48,218 거래량
2026.05.31
On or prior to May 1
$4,245 거래량
1%
May 2
$1,319 거래량
<1%
May 3
$1,328 거래량
<1%
May 4
$1,518 거래량
<1%
May 5
$1,380 거래량
<1%
May 6
$1,380 거래량
<1%
May 7
$1,393 거래량
<1%
May 8
$1,725 거래량
1%
May 9
$1,315 거래량
1%
May 10
$970 거래량
<1%
May 11
$1,118 거래량
<1%
May 12
$1,325 거래량
1%
May 13
$2,590 거래량
34%
May 14
$2,146 거래량
28%
May 15
$2,232 거래량
4%
May 16
$1,814 거래량
4%
May 17
$1,221 거래량
<1%
May 18
$1,265 거래량
1%
May 19
$1,200 거래량
<1%
May 20
$1,247 거래량
<1%
May 21
$1,184 거래량
1%
May 22
$1,262 거래량
1%
May 23
$1,108 거래량
<1%
May 24
$1,035 거래량
<1%
May 25
$1,096 거래량
<1%
May 26
$1,022 거래량
<1%
May 27
$1,008 거래량
<1%
May 28
$1,020 거래량
<1%
May 29
$974 거래량
1%
May 30
$1,062 거래량
<1%
May 31
$1,157 거래량
1%
No visit by May 31
$3,597 거래량
22%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.White House confirmation in late March rescheduled President Trump's summit with Xi Jinping to Beijing on May 14-15, elevating trader odds for mid-May dates amid U.S.-China diplomacy on trade and Iran tensions, yet keeping May 13 (34%) and May 14 (26%) in a tight contest due to uncertainty over exact arrival and departure itineraries. The 22.5% no-visit-by-May-31 probability reflects risks of further delays from the ongoing U.S.-Iran war, which prompted the prior postponement, and lacks of itinerary details. Recent preparatory trips by Trump allies and his public anticipation sustain momentum, but an official schedule release, escalation signals, or cancellation could decisively shift probabilities before the end of April.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
거래량
$48,218종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.White House confirmation in late March rescheduled President Trump's summit with Xi Jinping to Beijing on May 14-15, elevating trader odds for mid-May dates amid U.S.-China diplomacy on trade and Iran tensions, yet keeping May 13 (34%) and May 14 (26%) in a tight contest due to uncertainty over exact arrival and departure itineraries. The 22.5% no-visit-by-May-31 probability reflects risks of further delays from the ongoing U.S.-Iran war, which prompted the prior postponement, and lacks of itinerary details. Recent preparatory trips by Trump allies and his public anticipation sustain momentum, but an official schedule release, escalation signals, or cancellation could decisively shift probabilities before the end of April.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$48,218종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...White House confirmation in late March rescheduled President Trump's summit with Xi Jinping to Beijing on May 14-15, elevating trader odds for mid-May dates amid U.S.-China diplomacy on trade and Iran tensions, yet keeping May 13 (34%) and May 14 (26%) in a tight contest due to uncertainty over exact arrival and departure itineraries. The 22.5% no-visit-by-May-31 probability reflects risks of further delays from the ongoing U.S.-Iran war, which prompted the prior postponement, and lacks of itinerary details. Recent preparatory trips by Trump allies and his public anticipation sustain momentum, but an official schedule release, escalation signals, or cancellation could decisively shift probabilities before the end of April.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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