OPEC+ members, including Saudi Arabia and Russia, continue coordinated production adjustments in 2026, with the latest 188,000 barrels-per-day quota increase for July following similar moves in prior months and reaffirmed commitments to market stability amid the Strait of Hormuz disruptions. These actions, alongside ongoing monthly meetings and gradual unwinding of voluntary cuts extended through year-end, underpin the 93% market-implied odds against dissolution by demonstrating sustained institutional cooperation on supply management. While the UAE's recent exit highlights potential fragmentation risks, the core group's focus on capacity reviews and output flexibility reduces near-term breakup prospects, though escalated geopolitical tensions or further member departures could introduce uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$29,586 거래량
$29,586 거래량
2026.12.31
$29,586 거래량
$29,586 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC+ members, including Saudi Arabia and Russia, continue coordinated production adjustments in 2026, with the latest 188,000 barrels-per-day quota increase for July following similar moves in prior months and reaffirmed commitments to market stability amid the Strait of Hormuz disruptions. These actions, alongside ongoing monthly meetings and gradual unwinding of voluntary cuts extended through year-end, underpin the 93% market-implied odds against dissolution by demonstrating sustained institutional cooperation on supply management. While the UAE's recent exit highlights potential fragmentation risks, the core group's focus on capacity reviews and output flexibility reduces near-term breakup prospects, though escalated geopolitical tensions or further member departures could introduce uncertainty.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
거래량
$29,586종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC+ members, including Saudi Arabia and Russia, continue coordinated production adjustments in 2026, with the latest 188,000 barrels-per-day quota increase for July following similar moves in prior months and reaffirmed commitments to market stability amid the Strait of Hormuz disruptions. These actions, alongside ongoing monthly meetings and gradual unwinding of voluntary cuts extended through year-end, underpin the 93% market-implied odds against dissolution by demonstrating sustained institutional cooperation on supply management. While the UAE's recent exit highlights potential fragmentation risks, the core group's focus on capacity reviews and output flexibility reduces near-term breakup prospects, though escalated geopolitical tensions or further member departures could introduce uncertainty.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$29,586종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OPEC+ members, including Saudi Arabia and Russia, continue coordinated production adjustments in 2026, with the latest 188,000 barrels-per-day quota increase for July following similar moves in prior months and reaffirmed commitments to market stability amid the Strait of Hormuz disruptions. These actions, alongside ongoing monthly meetings and gradual unwinding of voluntary cuts extended through year-end, underpin the 93% market-implied odds against dissolution by demonstrating sustained institutional cooperation on supply management. While the UAE's recent exit highlights potential fragmentation risks, the core group's focus on capacity reviews and output flexibility reduces near-term breakup prospects, though escalated geopolitical tensions or further member departures could introduce uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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