$16,651 Vol.
$16,651 Vol.
Feb 16, 2024
On Wednesday, February 14, 2024, House Intelligence Committee Chair Mike Turner released intelligence around a “serious national security threat” to all members of the US Congress. As of the writing of this market, this information remains classified, though Turner is calling for its declassification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any part of the intelligence around the "serious national security threat" is declassified by Biden, his cabinet, or the White House in general, and made publicly available by Friday, February 16, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
On Wednesday, February 14, 2024, House Intelligence Committee Chair Mike Turner released intelligence around a “serious national security threat” to all members of the US Congress. As of the writing of this market, this information remains classified, though Turner is calling for its declassification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any part of the intelligence around the "serious national security threat" is declassified by Biden, his cabinet, or the White House in general, and made publicly available by Friday, February 16, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any part of the intelligence around the "serious national security threat" is declassified by Biden, his cabinet, or the White House in general, and made publicly available by Friday, February 16, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
생성일: Feb 14, 2024, 5:10 PM ET
볼륨
$16,651종료일
Feb 16, 2024생성일
Feb 14, 2024, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...제안된 결과: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
$16,651 Vol.
$16,651 Vol.
Feb 16, 2024
On Wednesday, February 14, 2024, House Intelligence Committee Chair Mike Turner released intelligence around a “serious national security threat” to all members of the US Congress. As of the writing of this market, this information remains classified, though Turner is calling for its declassification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any part of the intelligence around the "serious national security threat" is declassified by Biden, his cabinet, or the White House in general, and made publicly available by Friday, February 16, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
On Wednesday, February 14, 2024, House Intelligence Committee Chair Mike Turner released intelligence around a “serious national security threat” to all members of the US Congress. As of the writing of this market, this information remains classified, though Turner is calling for its declassification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any part of the intelligence around the "serious national security threat" is declassified by Biden, his cabinet, or the White House in general, and made publicly available by Friday, February 16, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any part of the intelligence around the "serious national security threat" is declassified by Biden, his cabinet, or the White House in general, and made publicly available by Friday, February 16, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
볼륨
$16,651종료일
Feb 16, 2024생성일
Feb 14, 2024, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...제안된 결과: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
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Frequently Asked Questions
"Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday?" has generated $16.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 14, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current probability for "Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.
The resolution rules for "Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

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Frequently Asked Questions