Traders assign virtually all probability to "Other" as the outcome for replacing Oklahoma Senator Markwayne Mullin, reflecting no credible developments signaling a Senate vacancy. Mullin, re-elected in 2022 with a term extending to 2028, continues active service, including recent committee work and public statements affirming his role, with zero reports of resignation or appointment to another position. Potential successors like Rep. Kevin Hern, House Speaker Charles McCall, AG Gentner Drummond, Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell, or Rep. Stephanie Bice garner negligible odds absent a trigger event. Realistic challenges include a Trump administration nomination requiring resignation or unexpected personal departure, prompting Gov. Kevin Stitt's interim appointment ahead of a special election; however, no such catalysts have emerged.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Gentner Drummond <1%
Matt Pinnell <1%
Kevin Hern <1%
Stephanie Bice <1%
$0.00 거래량
$0.00 거래량
2026.11.03
Gentner Drummond
No
Matt Pinnell
No
Kevin Hern
No
Stephanie Bice
No
Kevin Stitt
No
Charles McCall
No
Ryan Walters
No
None Before Midterm Election
No
Gentner Drummond <1%
Matt Pinnell <1%
Kevin Hern <1%
Stephanie Bice <1%
$0.00 거래량
$0.00 거래량
2026.11.03
Gentner Drummond
$0 거래량
No
Matt Pinnell
$0 거래량
No
Kevin Hern
$0 거래량
No
Stephanie Bice
$0 거래량
No
Kevin Stitt
$0 거래량
No
Charles McCall
$0 거래량
No
Ryan Walters
$0 거래량
No
None Before Midterm Election
$0 거래량
No
On March 5, 2026, Donald Trump announced that the United States Senator from Oklahoma, Markwayne Mullin, will be appointed to replace Kristi Noem as United States Secretary of Homeland Security.
This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of Oklahoma, or otherwise formally selected according the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Markwayne Mullin’s seat as United States Senator from Oklahoma.
Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count.
If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.”
Additionally, if, prior to November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a widespread consensus of credible reporting indicates that Markwayne Mullin will complete his term as United States Senator (e.g. if Mullin’s nomination as Secretary of Homeland Security is rejected or withdrawn and he announces he will complete his term), this market will resolve immediately to “None Before Midterm Election.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Oklahoma; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign virtually all probability to "Other" as the outcome for replacing Oklahoma Senator Markwayne Mullin, reflecting no credible developments signaling a Senate vacancy. Mullin, re-elected in 2022 with a term extending to 2028, continues active service, including recent committee work and public statements affirming his role, with zero reports of resignation or appointment to another position. Potential successors like Rep. Kevin Hern, House Speaker Charles McCall, AG Gentner Drummond, Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell, or Rep. Stephanie Bice garner negligible odds absent a trigger event. Realistic challenges include a Trump administration nomination requiring resignation or unexpected personal departure, prompting Gov. Kevin Stitt's interim appointment ahead of a special election; however, no such catalysts have emerged.
On March 5, 2026, Donald Trump announced that the United States Senator from Oklahoma, Markwayne Mullin, will be appointed to replace Kristi Noem as United States Secretary of Homeland Security.
This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of Oklahoma, or otherwise formally selected according the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Markwayne Mullin’s seat as United States Senator from Oklahoma.
Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count.
If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.”
Additionally, if, prior to November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a widespread consensus of credible reporting indicates that Markwayne Mullin will complete his term as United States Senator (e.g. if Mullin’s nomination as Secretary of Homeland Security is rejected or withdrawn and he announces he will complete his term), this market will resolve immediately to “None Before Midterm Election.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Oklahoma; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of Oklahoma, or otherwise formally selected according the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Markwayne Mullin’s seat as United States Senator from Oklahoma.
Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count.
If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.”
Additionally, if, prior to November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a widespread consensus of credible reporting indicates that Markwayne Mullin will complete his term as United States Senator (e.g. if Mullin’s nomination as Secretary of Homeland Security is rejected or withdrawn and he announces he will complete his term), this market will resolve immediately to “None Before Midterm Election.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Oklahoma; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
거래량
$0종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
On March 5, 2026, Donald Trump announced that the United States Senator from Oklahoma, Markwayne Mullin, will be appointed to replace Kristi Noem as United States Secretary of Homeland Security.
This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of Oklahoma, or otherwise formally selected according the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Markwayne Mullin’s seat as United States Senator from Oklahoma.
Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count.
If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.”
Additionally, if, prior to November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a widespread consensus of credible reporting indicates that Markwayne Mullin will complete his term as United States Senator (e.g. if Mullin’s nomination as Secretary of Homeland Security is rejected or withdrawn and he announces he will complete his term), this market will resolve immediately to “None Before Midterm Election.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Oklahoma; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign virtually all probability to "Other" as the outcome for replacing Oklahoma Senator Markwayne Mullin, reflecting no credible developments signaling a Senate vacancy. Mullin, re-elected in 2022 with a term extending to 2028, continues active service, including recent committee work and public statements affirming his role, with zero reports of resignation or appointment to another position. Potential successors like Rep. Kevin Hern, House Speaker Charles McCall, AG Gentner Drummond, Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell, or Rep. Stephanie Bice garner negligible odds absent a trigger event. Realistic challenges include a Trump administration nomination requiring resignation or unexpected personal departure, prompting Gov. Kevin Stitt's interim appointment ahead of a special election; however, no such catalysts have emerged.
On March 5, 2026, Donald Trump announced that the United States Senator from Oklahoma, Markwayne Mullin, will be appointed to replace Kristi Noem as United States Secretary of Homeland Security.
This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of Oklahoma, or otherwise formally selected according the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Markwayne Mullin’s seat as United States Senator from Oklahoma.
Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count.
If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.”
Additionally, if, prior to November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a widespread consensus of credible reporting indicates that Markwayne Mullin will complete his term as United States Senator (e.g. if Mullin’s nomination as Secretary of Homeland Security is rejected or withdrawn and he announces he will complete his term), this market will resolve immediately to “None Before Midterm Election.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Oklahoma; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of Oklahoma, or otherwise formally selected according the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Markwayne Mullin’s seat as United States Senator from Oklahoma.
Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count.
If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.”
Additionally, if, prior to November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a widespread consensus of credible reporting indicates that Markwayne Mullin will complete his term as United States Senator (e.g. if Mullin’s nomination as Secretary of Homeland Security is rejected or withdrawn and he announces he will complete his term), this market will resolve immediately to “None Before Midterm Election.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Oklahoma; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$0종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Traders assign virtually all probability to "Other" as the outcome for replacing Oklahoma Senator Markwayne Mullin, reflecting no credible developments signaling a Senate vacancy. Mullin, re-elected in 2022 with a term extending to 2028, continues active service, including recent committee work and public statements affirming his role, with zero reports of resignation or appointment to another position. Potential successors like Rep. Kevin Hern, House Speaker Charles McCall, AG Gentner Drummond, Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell, or Rep. Stephanie Bice garner negligible odds absent a trigger event. Realistic challenges include a Trump administration nomination requiring resignation or unexpected personal departure, prompting Gov. Kevin Stitt's interim appointment ahead of a special election; however, no such catalysts have emerged.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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