Multiple prediction markets on Polymarket track probabilities for specific individuals facing arrest by the end of 2026, including former U.S. officials such as John Brennan and James Comey alongside international figures like South Korean politicians Lee Jun-seok and Lee Jae-myung. These markets reflect trader assessments of ongoing federal investigations, potential DOJ actions, foreign legal proceedings, and any new charges or indictments that could arise before the deadline. Resolution depends on verified arrests meeting standard legal definitions, with outcomes influenced by court schedules, executive branch decisions, and international judicial timelines through 2026. No major verified developments shifting these specific cases have emerged in the past 30 days beyond routine procedural updates in related matters.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$107,139 거래량
John Brennan
62%
Mahmoud Khalil
29%
Lee Jun-seok
38%
John Kerry
31%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
27%
Letitia James
28%
James Clapper
20%
Brandon Johnson
17%
Tom Homan
17%
Loretta Lynch
12%
Adam Schiff
11%
Anthony Fauci
9%
Hillary Clinton
8%
Kash Patel
7%
Candace Owens
7%
Barack Obama
7%
Susan Rice
6%
Benjamin Netanyahu
12%
Gavin Newsom
5%
Bill Clinton
5%
Pam Bondi
5%
James Comey
10%
Joe Biden
3%
Lisa Cook
41%
$107,139 거래량
John Brennan
$6,346 거래량
62%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,097 거래량
29%
Lee Jun-seok
$356 거래량
38%
John Kerry
$73 거래량
31%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$7,150 거래량
27%
Letitia James
$1,309 거래량
28%
James Clapper
$2,457 거래량
20%
Brandon Johnson
$1,887 거래량
17%
Tom Homan
$27,683 거래량
17%
Loretta Lynch
$351 거래량
12%
Adam Schiff
$5,969 거래량
11%
Anthony Fauci
$6,256 거래량
9%
Hillary Clinton
$13,175 거래량
8%
Kash Patel
$153 거래량
7%
Candace Owens
$257 거래량
7%
Barack Obama
$946 거래량
7%
Susan Rice
$212 거래량
6%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$255 거래량
12%
Gavin Newsom
$18,451 거래량
5%
Bill Clinton
$331 거래량
5%
Pam Bondi
$1,487 거래량
5%
James Comey
$9,204 거래량
10%
Joe Biden
$1,390 거래량
3%
Lisa Cook
$363 거래량
41%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple prediction markets on Polymarket track probabilities for specific individuals facing arrest by the end of 2026, including former U.S. officials such as John Brennan and James Comey alongside international figures like South Korean politicians Lee Jun-seok and Lee Jae-myung. These markets reflect trader assessments of ongoing federal investigations, potential DOJ actions, foreign legal proceedings, and any new charges or indictments that could arise before the deadline. Resolution depends on verified arrests meeting standard legal definitions, with outcomes influenced by court schedules, executive branch decisions, and international judicial timelines through 2026. No major verified developments shifting these specific cases have emerged in the past 30 days beyond routine procedural updates in related matters.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
거래량
$107,139마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple prediction markets on Polymarket track probabilities for specific individuals facing arrest by the end of 2026, including former U.S. officials such as John Brennan and James Comey alongside international figures like South Korean politicians Lee Jun-seok and Lee Jae-myung. These markets reflect trader assessments of ongoing federal investigations, potential DOJ actions, foreign legal proceedings, and any new charges or indictments that could arise before the deadline. Resolution depends on verified arrests meeting standard legal definitions, with outcomes influenced by court schedules, executive branch decisions, and international judicial timelines through 2026. No major verified developments shifting these specific cases have emerged in the past 30 days beyond routine procedural updates in related matters.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$107,139마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Multiple prediction markets on Polymarket track probabilities for specific individuals facing arrest by the end of 2026, including former U.S. officials such as John Brennan and James Comey alongside international figures like South Korean politicians Lee Jun-seok and Lee Jae-myung. These markets reflect trader assessments of ongoing federal investigations, potential DOJ actions, foreign legal proceedings, and any new charges or indictments that could arise before the deadline. Resolution depends on verified arrests meeting standard legal definitions, with outcomes influenced by court schedules, executive branch decisions, and international judicial timelines through 2026. No major verified developments shifting these specific cases have emerged in the past 30 days beyond routine procedural updates in related matters.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문