Market icon

US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$111,918 Vol.

After a drone attack from Iranian-backed militias on a US military base killed 3 US troops on Jan 28, US President Biden vowed to "hold all those responsible to account at a time and in a manner our choosing."

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a US response to the drone attacks by January 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

A response by the US refers to action(s) carried out by the US that are explicitly in response to Iran’s drone attack, which may include strikes, cyber attacks, sanctions, etc.

The resolution source will be official sources from the US government, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
볼륨
$111,918
종료일
Jan 31, 2024
생성일
Jan 29, 2024, 10:09 PM ET
After a drone attack from Iranian-backed militias on a US military base killed 3 US troops on Jan 28, US President Biden vowed to "hold all those responsible to account at a time and in a manner our choosing." This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a US response to the drone attacks by January 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A response by the US refers to action(s) carried out by the US that are explicitly in response to Iran’s drone attack, which may include strikes, cyber attacks, sanctions, etc. The resolution source will be official sources from the US government, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.

제안된 결과: No

이의 제기됨

제안된 결과: No

이의 제기됨

최종 결과: No

외부 링크를 조심하십시오.

Frequently Asked Questions

"US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31?" has generated $111.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$111,918 Vol.

After a drone attack from Iranian-backed militias on a US military base killed 3 US troops on Jan 28, US President Biden vowed to "hold all those responsible to account at a time and in a manner our choosing."

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a US response to the drone attacks by January 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

A response by the US refers to action(s) carried out by the US that are explicitly in response to Iran’s drone attack, which may include strikes, cyber attacks, sanctions, etc.

The resolution source will be official sources from the US government, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
볼륨
$111,918
종료일
Jan 31, 2024
생성일
Jan 29, 2024, 10:09 PM ET
After a drone attack from Iranian-backed militias on a US military base killed 3 US troops on Jan 28, US President Biden vowed to "hold all those responsible to account at a time and in a manner our choosing." This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a US response to the drone attacks by January 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A response by the US refers to action(s) carried out by the US that are explicitly in response to Iran’s drone attack, which may include strikes, cyber attacks, sanctions, etc. The resolution source will be official sources from the US government, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.

제안된 결과: No

이의 제기됨

제안된 결과: No

이의 제기됨

최종 결과: No

외부 링크를 조심하십시오.

Frequently Asked Questions

"US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31?" has generated $111.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.