Tesla's share price closed April 2, 2026—the day after Q1 production and deliveries—at $360.59, down 5.4% following a miss on vehicle deliveries of 358,023 units versus consensus estimates around 365,000–372,000, reflecting persistent EV demand weakness, pricing pressures, and rising competition. This post-news stabilization has driven Polymarket's trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the $360–$365 bin at the week-of-March 30 close (Friday, April 3), backed by real capital amid low intraday volatility and technical support near recent lows. Bearish analyst revisions, including HSBC's $131 price target, reinforce caution, though Q1 earnings on April 22 loom as the next catalyst; only a sharp reversal from fresh macro data or FSD updates could challenge this positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$360-$365 100.0%
<$350 <1%
$350-$355 <1%
$355-$360 <1%
$35,295 거래량
$35,295 거래량
2026.04.03
<$350
No
$350-$355
No
$355-$360
No
$360-$365
Yes
$365-$370
No
$370-$375
No
$375-$380
No
$380-$385
No
$385-$390
No
$390-$395
No
>$395
No
$360-$365 100.0%
<$350 <1%
$350-$355 <1%
$355-$360 <1%
$35,295 거래량
$35,295 거래량
2026.04.03
<$350
$3,850 거래량
No
$350-$355
$4,517 거래량
No
$355-$360
$2,343 거래량
No
$360-$365
$6,052 거래량
Yes
$365-$370
$3,022 거래량
No
$370-$375
$1,930 거래량
No
$375-$380
$1,883 거래량
No
$380-$385
$2,237 거래량
No
$385-$390
$2,605 거래량
No
$390-$395
$1,499 거래량
No
>$395
$5,357 거래량
No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla's share price closed April 2, 2026—the day after Q1 production and deliveries—at $360.59, down 5.4% following a miss on vehicle deliveries of 358,023 units versus consensus estimates around 365,000–372,000, reflecting persistent EV demand weakness, pricing pressures, and rising competition. This post-news stabilization has driven Polymarket's trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the $360–$365 bin at the week-of-March 30 close (Friday, April 3), backed by real capital amid low intraday volatility and technical support near recent lows. Bearish analyst revisions, including HSBC's $131 price target, reinforce caution, though Q1 earnings on April 22 loom as the next catalyst; only a sharp reversal from fresh macro data or FSD updates could challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
마켓 개설일: Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
거래량
$35,295종료일
2026.04.03마켓 개설일
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla's share price closed April 2, 2026—the day after Q1 production and deliveries—at $360.59, down 5.4% following a miss on vehicle deliveries of 358,023 units versus consensus estimates around 365,000–372,000, reflecting persistent EV demand weakness, pricing pressures, and rising competition. This post-news stabilization has driven Polymarket's trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the $360–$365 bin at the week-of-March 30 close (Friday, April 3), backed by real capital amid low intraday volatility and technical support near recent lows. Bearish analyst revisions, including HSBC's $131 price target, reinforce caution, though Q1 earnings on April 22 loom as the next catalyst; only a sharp reversal from fresh macro data or FSD updates could challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
거래량
$35,295종료일
2026.04.03마켓 개설일
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Tesla's share price closed April 2, 2026—the day after Q1 production and deliveries—at $360.59, down 5.4% following a miss on vehicle deliveries of 358,023 units versus consensus estimates around 365,000–372,000, reflecting persistent EV demand weakness, pricing pressures, and rising competition. This post-news stabilization has driven Polymarket's trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the $360–$365 bin at the week-of-March 30 close (Friday, April 3), backed by real capital amid low intraday volatility and technical support near recent lows. Bearish analyst revisions, including HSBC's $131 price target, reinforce caution, though Q1 earnings on April 22 loom as the next catalyst; only a sharp reversal from fresh macro data or FSD updates could challenge this positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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