Market icon

Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep

Market icon

Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep

>99% chance
Polymarket

$559,484 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$559,484 Vol.

Note: This market is about Donald Trump winning with exactly 312 electoral votes, with this specific configuration: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump+312.png.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump secures exactly 312 electoral votes in the 2024 United States Presidential Election by winning the following states and districts:

Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arizona (11), Arkansas (6), Florida (30), Georgia (16), Idaho (4), Indiana (11), Iowa (6), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8), Maine’s 2nd Congressional District (1), Michigan (15), Mississippi (6), Missouri (10), Montana (4), Nebraska (4 out of 5 electoral votes excluding Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District), Nevada (6), North Carolina (16), North Dakota (3), Ohio (17), Oklahoma (7), Pennsylvania (19), South Carolina (9), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (40), Utah (6), West Virginia (4), Wisconsin (10), Wyoming (3).

If Donald Trump does not win exactly these states and districts, thereby securing exactly 312 electoral votes, this market will resolve to "No."

A candidate will be considered to have won all electoral votes from a territory if they win the plurality of the votes, faithless electors will not be considered.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting (including AP, NBC, Fox) on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.
볼륨
$559,484
종료일
Nov 5, 2024
생성일
Oct 29, 2024, 7:01 PM ET
Note: This market is about Donald Trump winning with exactly 312 electoral votes, with this specific configuration: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump+312.png. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump secures exactly 312 electoral votes in the 2024 United States Presidential Election by winning the following states and districts: Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arizona (11), Arkansas (6), Florida (30), Georgia (16), Idaho (4), Indiana (11), Iowa (6), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8), Maine’s 2nd Congressional District (1), Michigan (15), Mississippi (6), Missouri (10), Montana (4), Nebraska (4 out of 5 electoral votes excluding Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District), Nevada (6), North Carolina (16), North Dakota (3), Ohio (17), Oklahoma (7), Pennsylvania (19), South Carolina (9), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (40), Utah (6), West Virginia (4), Wisconsin (10), Wyoming (3). If Donald Trump does not win exactly these states and districts, thereby securing exactly 312 electoral votes, this market will resolve to "No." A candidate will be considered to have won all electoral votes from a territory if they win the plurality of the votes, faithless electors will not be considered. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting (including AP, NBC, Fox) on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.

제안된 결과: Yes

이의 없음

최종 결과: Yes

Note: This market is about Donald Trump winning with exactly 312 electoral votes, with this specific configuration: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump+312.png.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump secures exactly 312 electoral votes in the 2024 United States Presidential Election by winning the following states and districts:

Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arizona (11), Arkansas (6), Florida (30), Georgia (16), Idaho (4), Indiana (11), Iowa (6), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8), Maine’s 2nd Congressional District (1), Michigan (15), Mississippi (6), Missouri (10), Montana (4), Nebraska (4 out of 5 electoral votes excluding Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District), Nevada (6), North Carolina (16), North Dakota (3), Ohio (17), Oklahoma (7), Pennsylvania (19), South Carolina (9), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (40), Utah (6), West Virginia (4), Wisconsin (10), Wyoming (3).

If Donald Trump does not win exactly these states and districts, thereby securing exactly 312 electoral votes, this market will resolve to "No."

A candidate will be considered to have won all electoral votes from a territory if they win the plurality of the votes, faithless electors will not be considered.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting (including AP, NBC, Fox) on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.
볼륨
$559,484
종료일
Nov 5, 2024
생성일
Oct 29, 2024, 7:01 PM ET
Note: This market is about Donald Trump winning with exactly 312 electoral votes, with this specific configuration: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump+312.png. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump secures exactly 312 electoral votes in the 2024 United States Presidential Election by winning the following states and districts: Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arizona (11), Arkansas (6), Florida (30), Georgia (16), Idaho (4), Indiana (11), Iowa (6), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8), Maine’s 2nd Congressional District (1), Michigan (15), Mississippi (6), Missouri (10), Montana (4), Nebraska (4 out of 5 electoral votes excluding Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District), Nevada (6), North Carolina (16), North Dakota (3), Ohio (17), Oklahoma (7), Pennsylvania (19), South Carolina (9), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (40), Utah (6), West Virginia (4), Wisconsin (10), Wyoming (3). If Donald Trump does not win exactly these states and districts, thereby securing exactly 312 electoral votes, this market will resolve to "No." A candidate will be considered to have won all electoral votes from a territory if they win the plurality of the votes, faithless electors will not be considered. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting (including AP, NBC, Fox) on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.

제안된 결과: Yes

이의 없음

최종 결과: Yes

외부 링크를 조심하십시오.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep " is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep " has generated $559.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 29, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep ," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep " is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.