Despite intensified Democratic calls this week for a 25th Amendment commission involving Vice President Vance—sparked by President Trump's provocative social media post on Iran threats around April 6—no Republican lawmakers or Cabinet members have endorsed invocation, underscoring the measure's steep procedural barriers requiring VP and majority Cabinet certification of incapacity, followed by potential two-thirds congressional votes to sustain. Traders price "No" at 92.5%, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on the absence of health crises, disloyalty among Trump appointees, or bipartisan support amid partisan rhetoric. Late-breaking medical emergencies or scandals could shift odds, but none have materialized in recent weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$20,287 거래량
$20,287 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$20,287 거래량
$20,287 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Despite intensified Democratic calls this week for a 25th Amendment commission involving Vice President Vance—sparked by President Trump's provocative social media post on Iran threats around April 6—no Republican lawmakers or Cabinet members have endorsed invocation, underscoring the measure's steep procedural barriers requiring VP and majority Cabinet certification of incapacity, followed by potential two-thirds congressional votes to sustain. Traders price "No" at 92.5%, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on the absence of health crises, disloyalty among Trump appointees, or bipartisan support amid partisan rhetoric. Late-breaking medical emergencies or scandals could shift odds, but none have materialized in recent weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
거래량
$20,287종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Despite intensified Democratic calls this week for a 25th Amendment commission involving Vice President Vance—sparked by President Trump's provocative social media post on Iran threats around April 6—no Republican lawmakers or Cabinet members have endorsed invocation, underscoring the measure's steep procedural barriers requiring VP and majority Cabinet certification of incapacity, followed by potential two-thirds congressional votes to sustain. Traders price "No" at 92.5%, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on the absence of health crises, disloyalty among Trump appointees, or bipartisan support amid partisan rhetoric. Late-breaking medical emergencies or scandals could shift odds, but none have materialized in recent weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
거래량
$20,287종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite intensified Democratic calls this week for a 25th Amendment commission involving Vice President Vance—sparked by President Trump's provocative social media post on Iran threats around April 6—no Republican lawmakers or Cabinet members have endorsed invocation, underscoring the measure's steep procedural barriers requiring VP and majority Cabinet certification of incapacity, followed by potential two-thirds congressional votes to sustain. Traders price "No" at 92.5%, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on the absence of health crises, disloyalty among Trump appointees, or bipartisan support amid partisan rhetoric. Late-breaking medical emergencies or scandals could shift odds, but none have materialized in recent weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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