Polymarket traders show closely contested sentiment for June COMEX silver (SI) futures settlement, with $80-$90 leading at 22.5% implied probability amid a sharp 3-5% pullback today to around $85/oz, driven by forecasts of a dramatically narrowing supply deficit from higher mine output and softer industrial consumption. Robust 2026 demand growth—up 52% in solar panels, EVs, and electronics—clashes with weakening investment flows and revised bank targets like HSBC's $70 year-end call, keeping $70-$100 bins competitive at 16.7-22.5%. Key differentiators include upcoming U.S. CPI releases and Fed signals on inflation, alongside China manufacturing data, which could sway the futures curve versus spot trends near $84.66. Volatility persists as markets price baseline industrial tailwinds against macroeconomic softening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$80-$90 22%
$90-$100 18%
$70~$80 16.7%
$100-$115 15%
$575,736 거래량
$575,736 거래량
<$50
2%
$50-$60
2%
$60-$70
7%
$70~$80
17%
$80-$90
22%
$90-$100
18%
$100-$115
15%
$115 이상
12%
$80-$90 22%
$90-$100 18%
$70~$80 16.7%
$100-$115 15%
$575,736 거래량
$575,736 거래량
<$50
2%
$50-$60
2%
$60-$70
7%
$70~$80
17%
$80-$90
22%
$90-$100
18%
$100-$115
15%
$115 이상
12%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
마켓 개설일: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Polymarket traders show closely contested sentiment for June COMEX silver (SI) futures settlement, with $80-$90 leading at 22.5% implied probability amid a sharp 3-5% pullback today to around $85/oz, driven by forecasts of a dramatically narrowing supply deficit from higher mine output and softer industrial consumption. Robust 2026 demand growth—up 52% in solar panels, EVs, and electronics—clashes with weakening investment flows and revised bank targets like HSBC's $70 year-end call, keeping $70-$100 bins competitive at 16.7-22.5%. Key differentiators include upcoming U.S. CPI releases and Fed signals on inflation, alongside China manufacturing data, which could sway the futures curve versus spot trends near $84.66. Volatility persists as markets price baseline industrial tailwinds against macroeconomic softening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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