Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89% implied probability against OpenAI being acquired before 2027, driven by the company's aggressive expansion as an acquirer rather than acquisition target. OpenAI completed its conversion to a for-profit public benefit corporation in late 2025, paving the way for a potential initial public offering as early as Q4 2026—despite CFO Sarah Friar flagging the timeline as aggressive—amid valuations exceeding $850 billion that deter big-tech buyers. Recent deals, including the April 14 acquisition of AI personal finance startup Hiro Finance and April 2 purchase of tech media network TBPN, underscore strategic independence and Microsoft partnership limits, with no credible buyout rumors emerging. Watch for IPO regulatory filings as the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.12.31
신규
신규
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89% implied probability against OpenAI being acquired before 2027, driven by the company's aggressive expansion as an acquirer rather than acquisition target. OpenAI completed its conversion to a for-profit public benefit corporation in late 2025, paving the way for a potential initial public offering as early as Q4 2026—despite CFO Sarah Friar flagging the timeline as aggressive—amid valuations exceeding $850 billion that deter big-tech buyers. Recent deals, including the April 14 acquisition of AI personal finance startup Hiro Finance and April 2 purchase of tech media network TBPN, underscore strategic independence and Microsoft partnership limits, with no credible buyout rumors emerging. Watch for IPO regulatory filings as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ET
거래량
$3,207종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89% implied probability against OpenAI being acquired before 2027, driven by the company's aggressive expansion as an acquirer rather than acquisition target. OpenAI completed its conversion to a for-profit public benefit corporation in late 2025, paving the way for a potential initial public offering as early as Q4 2026—despite CFO Sarah Friar flagging the timeline as aggressive—amid valuations exceeding $850 billion that deter big-tech buyers. Recent deals, including the April 14 acquisition of AI personal finance startup Hiro Finance and April 2 purchase of tech media network TBPN, underscore strategic independence and Microsoft partnership limits, with no credible buyout rumors emerging. Watch for IPO regulatory filings as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$3,207종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89% implied probability against OpenAI being acquired before 2027, driven by the company's aggressive expansion as an acquirer rather than acquisition target. OpenAI completed its conversion to a for-profit public benefit corporation in late 2025, paving the way for a potential initial public offering as early as Q4 2026—despite CFO Sarah Friar flagging the timeline as aggressive—amid valuations exceeding $850 billion that deter big-tech buyers. Recent deals, including the April 14 acquisition of AI personal finance startup Hiro Finance and April 2 purchase of tech media network TBPN, underscore strategic independence and Microsoft partnership limits, with no credible buyout rumors emerging. Watch for IPO regulatory filings as the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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