The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in New Mexico's 3rd congressional district heading into the 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent D+3 partisan voter index and strong historical performance by Democratic candidates. Incumbent Representative Teresa Leger Fernández faces limited opposition after securing the Democratic nomination, while Republican primary voters selected Martin Ruben Zamora. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district's voting patterns in recent presidential and House contests. With primaries concluding on June 2 and no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events reported in the past month, trader consensus indicates low likelihood of a Republican upset in November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
11%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$363 거래량
90%
Republican Party
$0 거래량
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in New Mexico's 3rd congressional district heading into the 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent D+3 partisan voter index and strong historical performance by Democratic candidates. Incumbent Representative Teresa Leger Fernández faces limited opposition after securing the Democratic nomination, while Republican primary voters selected Martin Ruben Zamora. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district's voting patterns in recent presidential and House contests. With primaries concluding on June 2 and no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events reported in the past month, trader consensus indicates low likelihood of a Republican upset in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$363종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in New Mexico's 3rd congressional district heading into the 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent D+3 partisan voter index and strong historical performance by Democratic candidates. Incumbent Representative Teresa Leger Fernández faces limited opposition after securing the Democratic nomination, while Republican primary voters selected Martin Ruben Zamora. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district's voting patterns in recent presidential and House contests. With primaries concluding on June 2 and no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events reported in the past month, trader consensus indicates low likelihood of a Republican upset in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$363종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in New Mexico's 3rd congressional district heading into the 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent D+3 partisan voter index and strong historical performance by Democratic candidates. Incumbent Representative Teresa Leger Fernández faces limited opposition after securing the Democratic nomination, while Republican primary voters selected Martin Ruben Zamora. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district's voting patterns in recent presidential and House contests. With primaries concluding on June 2 and no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events reported in the past month, trader consensus indicates low likelihood of a Republican upset in November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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