Incumbent Democrat Teresa Leger Fernández runs unopposed in the June 2 Democratic primary for New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District, bolstering trader consensus at 89.5% for a Democratic hold amid the district's D+3 partisan lean and her consistent general election margins above 56% since 2020. Republican state Rep. Martin Ruben Zamora, the presumptive GOP nominee, trails in cash on hand per March 31 FEC filings ($665,876 for Leger Fernández vs. $277,790), reinforcing forecasters' Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report. With the November 3 general election approaching, national midterm dynamics or turnout shifts in this Hispanic-majority battleground could influence odds, though structural advantages favor the incumbent.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
11%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$0 거래량
90%
Republican Party
$0 거래량
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Teresa Leger Fernández runs unopposed in the June 2 Democratic primary for New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District, bolstering trader consensus at 89.5% for a Democratic hold amid the district's D+3 partisan lean and her consistent general election margins above 56% since 2020. Republican state Rep. Martin Ruben Zamora, the presumptive GOP nominee, trails in cash on hand per March 31 FEC filings ($665,876 for Leger Fernández vs. $277,790), reinforcing forecasters' Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report. With the November 3 general election approaching, national midterm dynamics or turnout shifts in this Hispanic-majority battleground could influence odds, though structural advantages favor the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$0종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Teresa Leger Fernández runs unopposed in the June 2 Democratic primary for New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District, bolstering trader consensus at 89.5% for a Democratic hold amid the district's D+3 partisan lean and her consistent general election margins above 56% since 2020. Republican state Rep. Martin Ruben Zamora, the presumptive GOP nominee, trails in cash on hand per March 31 FEC filings ($665,876 for Leger Fernández vs. $277,790), reinforcing forecasters' Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report. With the November 3 general election approaching, national midterm dynamics or turnout shifts in this Hispanic-majority battleground could influence odds, though structural advantages favor the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$0종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Teresa Leger Fernández runs unopposed in the June 2 Democratic primary for New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District, bolstering trader consensus at 89.5% for a Democratic hold amid the district's D+3 partisan lean and her consistent general election margins above 56% since 2020. Republican state Rep. Martin Ruben Zamora, the presumptive GOP nominee, trails in cash on hand per March 31 FEC filings ($665,876 for Leger Fernández vs. $277,790), reinforcing forecasters' Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report. With the November 3 general election approaching, national midterm dynamics or turnout shifts in this Hispanic-majority battleground could influence odds, though structural advantages favor the incumbent.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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