Lionsgate's Michael Jackson biopic demonstrated impressive box office legs with a $54.4 million second-weekend domestic gross, down just 44% from its record-shattering $97.2 million debut, pushing cumulative earnings past $184 million despite scathing critic reviews and strong competition from Devil Wears Prada 2. This fan-driven word-of-mouth—bolstered by praise for Jaafar Jackson's lead performance—has traders evenly split across outcome buckets, with market-implied odds reflecting projections hovering near the $32-38 million range for the upcoming third weekend. Key differentiators include sustained audience scores, potential for sub-40% drops akin to Bohemian Rhapsody's trajectory, versus risks from expanding rival releases and typical multi-drop acceleration; watch Friday tracking updates for momentum shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트"마이클" 세 번째 주말 박스오피스
"마이클" 세 번째 주말 박스오피스
3,200만~3,500만 37%
<3,200만 30%
>3,800만 25%
3,500만~3,800만 15%
신규
신규
2026.05.11
<3,200만
30%
3,200만~3,500만
37%
3,500만~3,800만
15%
>3,800만
25%
3,200만~3,500만 37%
<3,200만 30%
>3,800만 25%
3,500만~3,800만 15%
신규
신규
2026.05.11
<3,200만
$975 거래량
30%
3,200만~3,500만
$1,278 거래량
37%
3,500만~3,800만
$703 거래량
15%
>3,800만
$867 거래량
25%
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Lionsgate's Michael Jackson biopic demonstrated impressive box office legs with a $54.4 million second-weekend domestic gross, down just 44% from its record-shattering $97.2 million debut, pushing cumulative earnings past $184 million despite scathing critic reviews and strong competition from Devil Wears Prada 2. This fan-driven word-of-mouth—bolstered by praise for Jaafar Jackson's lead performance—has traders evenly split across outcome buckets, with market-implied odds reflecting projections hovering near the $32-38 million range for the upcoming third weekend. Key differentiators include sustained audience scores, potential for sub-40% drops akin to Bohemian Rhapsody's trajectory, versus risks from expanding rival releases and typical multi-drop acceleration; watch Friday tracking updates for momentum shifts.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
마켓 개설일: May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
거래량
$3,823종료일
2026.05.11마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Lionsgate's Michael Jackson biopic demonstrated impressive box office legs with a $54.4 million second-weekend domestic gross, down just 44% from its record-shattering $97.2 million debut, pushing cumulative earnings past $184 million despite scathing critic reviews and strong competition from Devil Wears Prada 2. This fan-driven word-of-mouth—bolstered by praise for Jaafar Jackson's lead performance—has traders evenly split across outcome buckets, with market-implied odds reflecting projections hovering near the $32-38 million range for the upcoming third weekend. Key differentiators include sustained audience scores, potential for sub-40% drops akin to Bohemian Rhapsody's trajectory, versus risks from expanding rival releases and typical multi-drop acceleration; watch Friday tracking updates for momentum shifts.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
거래량
$3,823종료일
2026.05.11마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lionsgate's Michael Jackson biopic demonstrated impressive box office legs with a $54.4 million second-weekend domestic gross, down just 44% from its record-shattering $97.2 million debut, pushing cumulative earnings past $184 million despite scathing critic reviews and strong competition from Devil Wears Prada 2. This fan-driven word-of-mouth—bolstered by praise for Jaafar Jackson's lead performance—has traders evenly split across outcome buckets, with market-implied odds reflecting projections hovering near the $32-38 million range for the upcoming third weekend. Key differentiators include sustained audience scores, potential for sub-40% drops akin to Bohemian Rhapsody's trajectory, versus risks from expanding rival releases and typical multi-drop acceleration; watch Friday tracking updates for momentum shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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