Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s legal cases, including a mistrial in his third New York rape trial after jurors deadlocked in mid-May 2026, have reinforced trader consensus around the high implied probability of no additional prison time. The disgraced producer’s 2020 New York conviction was overturned on appeal, and while a 2025 retrial yielded a single criminal sex act conviction, the latest proceeding on the Jessica Mann allegations ended without a verdict, leaving outcomes uncertain amid ongoing appeals. His separate 16-year California sentence from 2022 remains in force and under appeal, yet Weinstein’s advanced age, documented health decline, and time already served at Rikers have introduced significant variables around sentencing timelines and potential reductions. Market-implied odds reflect the aggregated view that these procedural hurdles and personal factors could limit further incarceration despite the California conviction’s current standing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트하비 와인스타인 교도소 시간?
하비 와인스타인 교도소 시간?
징역형 없음 77.2%
20-30년 8.3%
10~20년 7.5%
5년 미만 4.5%
$1,053,745 거래량
$1,053,745 거래량
2025.12.31
징역형 없음
77%
5년 미만
5%
5-10년
3%
10~20년
7%
20-30년
8%
30년 이상
3%
징역형 없음 77.2%
20-30년 8.3%
10~20년 7.5%
5년 미만 4.5%
$1,053,745 거래량
$1,053,745 거래량
2025.12.31
징역형 없음
$368,512 거래량
77%
5년 미만
$138,325 거래량
5%
5-10년
$87,985 거래량
3%
10~20년
$167,260 거래량
7%
20-30년
$210,418 거래량
8%
30년 이상
$81,245 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s legal cases, including a mistrial in his third New York rape trial after jurors deadlocked in mid-May 2026, have reinforced trader consensus around the high implied probability of no additional prison time. The disgraced producer’s 2020 New York conviction was overturned on appeal, and while a 2025 retrial yielded a single criminal sex act conviction, the latest proceeding on the Jessica Mann allegations ended without a verdict, leaving outcomes uncertain amid ongoing appeals. His separate 16-year California sentence from 2022 remains in force and under appeal, yet Weinstein’s advanced age, documented health decline, and time already served at Rikers have introduced significant variables around sentencing timelines and potential reductions. Market-implied odds reflect the aggregated view that these procedural hurdles and personal factors could limit further incarceration despite the California conviction’s current standing.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
거래량
$1,053,745종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s legal cases, including a mistrial in his third New York rape trial after jurors deadlocked in mid-May 2026, have reinforced trader consensus around the high implied probability of no additional prison time. The disgraced producer’s 2020 New York conviction was overturned on appeal, and while a 2025 retrial yielded a single criminal sex act conviction, the latest proceeding on the Jessica Mann allegations ended without a verdict, leaving outcomes uncertain amid ongoing appeals. His separate 16-year California sentence from 2022 remains in force and under appeal, yet Weinstein’s advanced age, documented health decline, and time already served at Rikers have introduced significant variables around sentencing timelines and potential reductions. Market-implied odds reflect the aggregated view that these procedural hurdles and personal factors could limit further incarceration despite the California conviction’s current standing.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$1,053,745종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s legal cases, including a mistrial in his third New York rape trial after jurors deadlocked in mid-May 2026, have reinforced trader consensus around the high implied probability of no additional prison time. The disgraced producer’s 2020 New York conviction was overturned on appeal, and while a 2025 retrial yielded a single criminal sex act conviction, the latest proceeding on the Jessica Mann allegations ended without a verdict, leaving outcomes uncertain amid ongoing appeals. His separate 16-year California sentence from 2022 remains in force and under appeal, yet Weinstein’s advanced age, documented health decline, and time already served at Rikers have introduced significant variables around sentencing timelines and potential reductions. Market-implied odds reflect the aggregated view that these procedural hurdles and personal factors could limit further incarceration despite the California conviction’s current standing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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