Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between no prison time (32%) and 20-30 years (32%), reflecting high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's #MeToo legal saga amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial, which began opening statements April 21, 2026, with accuser Jessica Mann delivering emotional testimony under intense cross-examination through late April. His 16-year California rape conviction stands firm, while a 2025 New York criminal sexual act guilty verdict (max 25 years) awaits sentencing, but appeals, his advanced age (74), documented health woes, and time served—nearly six years—fuel bets on potential release or minimal additional incarceration. A verdict in the current trial, plus sentencing rulings, could decisively shift momentum in this closely contested market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트하비 와인스타인 교도소 시간?
하비 와인스타인 교도소 시간?
징역형 없음 32.0%
20-30년 31.9%
10~20년 15.6%
30년 이상 7.2%
$911,809 거래량
$911,809 거래량
2025.12.31
징역형 없음
32%
5년 미만
7%
5-10년
4%
10~20년
16%
20-30년
32%
30년 이상
7%
징역형 없음 32.0%
20-30년 31.9%
10~20년 15.6%
30년 이상 7.2%
$911,809 거래량
$911,809 거래량
2025.12.31
징역형 없음
$327,773 거래량
32%
5년 미만
$118,767 거래량
7%
5-10년
$69,271 거래량
4%
10~20년
$146,893 거래량
16%
20-30년
$185,647 거래량
32%
30년 이상
$63,459 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between no prison time (32%) and 20-30 years (32%), reflecting high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's #MeToo legal saga amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial, which began opening statements April 21, 2026, with accuser Jessica Mann delivering emotional testimony under intense cross-examination through late April. His 16-year California rape conviction stands firm, while a 2025 New York criminal sexual act guilty verdict (max 25 years) awaits sentencing, but appeals, his advanced age (74), documented health woes, and time served—nearly six years—fuel bets on potential release or minimal additional incarceration. A verdict in the current trial, plus sentencing rulings, could decisively shift momentum in this closely contested market.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
거래량
$911,809종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between no prison time (32%) and 20-30 years (32%), reflecting high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's #MeToo legal saga amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial, which began opening statements April 21, 2026, with accuser Jessica Mann delivering emotional testimony under intense cross-examination through late April. His 16-year California rape conviction stands firm, while a 2025 New York criminal sexual act guilty verdict (max 25 years) awaits sentencing, but appeals, his advanced age (74), documented health woes, and time served—nearly six years—fuel bets on potential release or minimal additional incarceration. A verdict in the current trial, plus sentencing rulings, could decisively shift momentum in this closely contested market.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$911,809종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between no prison time (32%) and 20-30 years (32%), reflecting high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's #MeToo legal saga amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial, which began opening statements April 21, 2026, with accuser Jessica Mann delivering emotional testimony under intense cross-examination through late April. His 16-year California rape conviction stands firm, while a 2025 New York criminal sexual act guilty verdict (max 25 years) awaits sentencing, but appeals, his advanced age (74), documented health woes, and time served—nearly six years—fuel bets on potential release or minimal additional incarceration. A verdict in the current trial, plus sentencing rulings, could decisively shift momentum in this closely contested market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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