The dominant 88.5% market-implied probability on no actor being selected yet reflects the early stage of the official casting search for the next James Bond, which Amazon MGM and director Denis Villeneuve only launched in May 2026. With casting director Nina Gold now leading auditions for a potential 2028 release, traders see little near-term resolution despite persistent rumors linking Callum Turner, Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Jacob Elordi, and Harris Dickinson to the role. These names carry modest implied odds because none have received confirmed offers or studio announcements, consistent with historical patterns where Bond transitions involve lengthy, secretive processes rather than quick reveals. Upcoming guild or industry events are unlikely to shift sentiment until clearer signals emerge from Villeneuve’s team.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트다음 제임스 본드 배우는?
다음 제임스 본드 배우는?
본드 선정 안 됨 89%
캘럼 터너 4.0%
아론 테일러-존슨 3.0%
해리스 딕킨슨 2.8%
$2,934,670 거래량
$2,934,670 거래량
본드 선정 안 됨
89%
캘럼 터너
4%
아론 테일러-존슨
3%
해리스 딕킨슨
3%
제이콥 엘로디
2%
테오 제임스
2%
톰 홀랜드
1%
헨리 카빌
1%
잭 로우든
1%
로버트 제임스-콜리어
1%
톰 하디
<1%
폴 메스칼
<1%
제임스 노튼
<1%
피어스 브로스넌
<1%
조쉬 오코너
<1%
본드 선정 안 됨 89%
캘럼 터너 4.0%
아론 테일러-존슨 3.0%
해리스 딕킨슨 2.8%
$2,934,670 거래량
$2,934,670 거래량
본드 선정 안 됨
89%
캘럼 터너
4%
아론 테일러-존슨
3%
해리스 딕킨슨
3%
제이콥 엘로디
2%
테오 제임스
2%
톰 홀랜드
1%
헨리 카빌
1%
잭 로우든
1%
로버트 제임스-콜리어
1%
톰 하디
<1%
폴 메스칼
<1%
제임스 노튼
<1%
피어스 브로스넌
<1%
조쉬 오코너
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The dominant 88.5% market-implied probability on no actor being selected yet reflects the early stage of the official casting search for the next James Bond, which Amazon MGM and director Denis Villeneuve only launched in May 2026. With casting director Nina Gold now leading auditions for a potential 2028 release, traders see little near-term resolution despite persistent rumors linking Callum Turner, Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Jacob Elordi, and Harris Dickinson to the role. These names carry modest implied odds because none have received confirmed offers or studio announcements, consistent with historical patterns where Bond transitions involve lengthy, secretive processes rather than quick reveals. Upcoming guild or industry events are unlikely to shift sentiment until clearer signals emerge from Villeneuve’s team.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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