Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs "No Bond chosen" at 76.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' deliberate pace in the post-Daniel Craig era, with executives publicly urging patience amid script development under director Denis Villeneuve for a targeted 2028 release. Persistent but unverified casting rumors have elevated Callum Turner (7%) and Jacob Elordi (6.7%) as frontrunners—Turner after viral early-year buzz he downplayed at Berlin, Elordi boosted by May 6 reports of his "pole position" following meetings with studio heads—yet traders demand official announcements, skeptical of tabloid speculation amid historical delays in franchise reboots. Watch for casting updates later in 2026 as precursor signals emerge.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트다음 제임스 본드 배우는?
다음 제임스 본드 배우는?
본드 선정 안 됨 77%
제이콥 엘로디 15.0%
캘럼 터너 7.0%
제임스 노튼 <1%
$2,128,280 거래량
$2,128,280 거래량
본드 선정 안 됨
77%
제이콥 엘로디
9%
캘럼 터너
7%
제임스 노튼
1%
해리스 딕킨슨
1%
톰 하디
<1%
테오 제임스
<1%
아론 테일러-존슨
<1%
폴 메스칼
<1%
피어스 브로스넌
<1%
톰 홀랜드
<1%
헨리 카빌
<1%
잭 로우든
<1%
로버트 제임스-콜리어
<1%
조쉬 오코너
<1%
본드 선정 안 됨 77%
제이콥 엘로디 15.0%
캘럼 터너 7.0%
제임스 노튼 <1%
$2,128,280 거래량
$2,128,280 거래량
본드 선정 안 됨
77%
제이콥 엘로디
9%
캘럼 터너
7%
제임스 노튼
1%
해리스 딕킨슨
1%
톰 하디
<1%
테오 제임스
<1%
아론 테일러-존슨
<1%
폴 메스칼
<1%
피어스 브로스넌
<1%
톰 홀랜드
<1%
헨리 카빌
<1%
잭 로우든
<1%
로버트 제임스-콜리어
<1%
조쉬 오코너
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs "No Bond chosen" at 76.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' deliberate pace in the post-Daniel Craig era, with executives publicly urging patience amid script development under director Denis Villeneuve for a targeted 2028 release. Persistent but unverified casting rumors have elevated Callum Turner (7%) and Jacob Elordi (6.7%) as frontrunners—Turner after viral early-year buzz he downplayed at Berlin, Elordi boosted by May 6 reports of his "pole position" following meetings with studio heads—yet traders demand official announcements, skeptical of tabloid speculation amid historical delays in franchise reboots. Watch for casting updates later in 2026 as precursor signals emerge.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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