Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F in San Francisco on April 17, 2026, based on verified observational data from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), as reported by Weather Underground—the market's resolution source. This positioning stems from official hourly records peaking at 68 or 69°F around midday amid mostly sunny conditions, light onshore winds, and typical spring marine layer dissipation, consistent with NOAA forecast model consensus predicting highs in the upper 60s after recent rainy weather cleared. Historical April averages hover around 64°F, making this mildly above-normal but unremarkable; only a rare post hoc data correction from NWS auditors could challenge resolution, though such revisions are infrequent for established readings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
68-69°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$90,754 거래량
$90,754 거래량
2026.04.17
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$90,754 거래량
$90,754 거래량
2026.04.17
57°F or below
$6,292 거래량
No
58-59°F
$3,527 거래량
No
60-61°F
$4,875 거래량
No
62-63°F
$4,189 거래량
No
64-65°F
$6,664 거래량
No
66-67°F
$6,610 거래량
No
68-69°F
$30,468 거래량
Yes
70-71°F
$11,231 거래량
No
72-73°F
$7,183 거래량
No
74-75°F
$4,594 거래량
No
76°F or higher
$5,120 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F in San Francisco on April 17, 2026, based on verified observational data from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), as reported by Weather Underground—the market's resolution source. This positioning stems from official hourly records peaking at 68 or 69°F around midday amid mostly sunny conditions, light onshore winds, and typical spring marine layer dissipation, consistent with NOAA forecast model consensus predicting highs in the upper 60s after recent rainy weather cleared. Historical April averages hover around 64°F, making this mildly above-normal but unremarkable; only a rare post hoc data correction from NWS auditors could challenge resolution, though such revisions are infrequent for established readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
거래량
$90,754종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F in San Francisco on April 17, 2026, based on verified observational data from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), as reported by Weather Underground—the market's resolution source. This positioning stems from official hourly records peaking at 68 or 69°F around midday amid mostly sunny conditions, light onshore winds, and typical spring marine layer dissipation, consistent with NOAA forecast model consensus predicting highs in the upper 60s after recent rainy weather cleared. Historical April averages hover around 64°F, making this mildly above-normal but unremarkable; only a rare post hoc data correction from NWS auditors could challenge resolution, though such revisions are infrequent for established readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$90,754종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F in San Francisco on April 17, 2026, based on verified observational data from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), as reported by Weather Underground—the market's resolution source. This positioning stems from official hourly records peaking at 68 or 69°F around midday amid mostly sunny conditions, light onshore winds, and typical spring marine layer dissipation, consistent with NOAA forecast model consensus predicting highs in the upper 60s after recent rainy weather cleared. Historical April averages hover around 64°F, making this mildly above-normal but unremarkable; only a rare post hoc data correction from NWS auditors could challenge resolution, though such revisions are infrequent for established readings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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