The South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast pins Cape Town's maximum temperature at 17°C on April 18, driving the 97.5% market-implied probability as cloudy skies, isolated showers, and strong winds from an advancing cold front suppress daytime heating below the April climatological average of 22°C. Official advisories highlight damaging winds and waves along the Western Cape coast, with a weather advisory for cold, wet conditions causing wind chill and limiting surface warming. Persistent overcast and precipitation align model consensus, but realistic challenges include afternoon cloud breaks or reduced mixing allowing a brief spike to 18°C—unlikely given current observations near 13–16°C midday. SAWS airport station data will finalize resolution post-sunset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 18?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 18?
17°C 98.9%
18°C 10.0%
19°C <1%
22°C <1%
$27,026 거래량
$27,026 거래량
17°C
99%
18°C
12%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 98.9%
18°C 10.0%
19°C <1%
22°C <1%
$27,026 거래량
$27,026 거래량
17°C
99%
18°C
12%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 2:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast pins Cape Town's maximum temperature at 17°C on April 18, driving the 97.5% market-implied probability as cloudy skies, isolated showers, and strong winds from an advancing cold front suppress daytime heating below the April climatological average of 22°C. Official advisories highlight damaging winds and waves along the Western Cape coast, with a weather advisory for cold, wet conditions causing wind chill and limiting surface warming. Persistent overcast and precipitation align model consensus, but realistic challenges include afternoon cloud breaks or reduced mixing allowing a brief spike to 18°C—unlikely given current observations near 13–16°C midday. SAWS airport station data will finalize resolution post-sunset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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