NEA's latest fortnightly outlook and April 16 advisory pinpoint inter-monsoon conditions driving thundery showers over Singapore on most afternoons through late April 2026, capping daily maximum temperatures at 33–34°C amid light winds and high humidity. This aligns with trader consensus implying near-certainty for a 34°C high at Changi Airport—the market's resolution station—supported by early-day observations peaking near 33°C and historical April patterns where afternoon convection suppresses extremes after the first fortnight's 35.4°C record. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly prolonged clear skies enabling rapid solar heating to 35°C+, though model consensus and 65–95% rainfall odds make this improbable before evening. Updated NEA observations expected hourly.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 18일에 싱가포르에서 가장 높은 온도를 기록하셨나요?
4월 18일에 싱가포르에서 가장 높은 온도를 기록하셨나요?
$86,573 거래량
$86,573 거래량
34°C
100%
35°C or higher
<1%
$86,573 거래량
$86,573 거래량
34°C
100%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
NEA's latest fortnightly outlook and April 16 advisory pinpoint inter-monsoon conditions driving thundery showers over Singapore on most afternoons through late April 2026, capping daily maximum temperatures at 33–34°C amid light winds and high humidity. This aligns with trader consensus implying near-certainty for a 34°C high at Changi Airport—the market's resolution station—supported by early-day observations peaking near 33°C and historical April patterns where afternoon convection suppresses extremes after the first fortnight's 35.4°C record. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly prolonged clear skies enabling rapid solar heating to 35°C+, though model consensus and 65–95% rainfall odds make this improbable before evening. Updated NEA observations expected hourly.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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