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Hezbollah enters Israel in August?

Market icon

Hezbollah enters Israel in August?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$55,518 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$55,518 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah personnel enter Israeli territory for combat operations between August 4, 2024 and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Israel territory includes any territory under Israeli control as of the creation of this market including the Golan Heights.

The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
볼륨
$55,518
종료일
Aug 31, 2024
생성일
Aug 5, 2024, 3:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah personnel enter Israeli territory for combat operations between August 4, 2024 and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Israel territory includes any territory under Israeli control as of the creation of this market including the Golan Heights. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

제안된 결과: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah personnel enter Israeli territory for combat operations between August 4, 2024 and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Israel territory includes any territory under Israeli control as of the creation of this market including the Golan Heights.

The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
볼륨
$55,518
종료일
Aug 31, 2024
생성일
Aug 5, 2024, 3:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah personnel enter Israeli territory for combat operations between August 4, 2024 and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Israel territory includes any territory under Israeli control as of the creation of this market including the Golan Heights. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

제안된 결과: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Hezbollah enters Israel in August?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Hezbollah enters Israel in August?" has generated $55.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Hezbollah enters Israel in August?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Hezbollah enters Israel in August?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Hezbollah enters Israel in August?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.