Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68% to win Florida's 23rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's post-redistricting Lean Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2. Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz leads the August 18 Democratic primary in March polling (45% to challenger Oliver Larkin's 11%) with superior fundraising ($1.2 million cash on hand). The Republican primary remains fragmented among seven candidates, including high-fundraisers Scott Singer ($1.23 million cash), Joe Kaufman, and George Moraitis, diluting GOP strength. Mid-decade redistricting signed May 6 slightly bolstered the Democratic lean, positioning traders to bet on Moskowitz or the Democratic nominee prevailing in November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
83%
Republican Party
15%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$554 거래량
83%
Republican Party
$579 거래량
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68% to win Florida's 23rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's post-redistricting Lean Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2. Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz leads the August 18 Democratic primary in March polling (45% to challenger Oliver Larkin's 11%) with superior fundraising ($1.2 million cash on hand). The Republican primary remains fragmented among seven candidates, including high-fundraisers Scott Singer ($1.23 million cash), Joe Kaufman, and George Moraitis, diluting GOP strength. Mid-decade redistricting signed May 6 slightly bolstered the Democratic lean, positioning traders to bet on Moskowitz or the Democratic nominee prevailing in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
거래량
$1,133종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68% to win Florida's 23rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's post-redistricting Lean Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2. Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz leads the August 18 Democratic primary in March polling (45% to challenger Oliver Larkin's 11%) with superior fundraising ($1.2 million cash on hand). The Republican primary remains fragmented among seven candidates, including high-fundraisers Scott Singer ($1.23 million cash), Joe Kaufman, and George Moraitis, diluting GOP strength. Mid-decade redistricting signed May 6 slightly bolstered the Democratic lean, positioning traders to bet on Moskowitz or the Democratic nominee prevailing in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$1,133종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68% to win Florida's 23rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's post-redistricting Lean Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2. Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz leads the August 18 Democratic primary in March polling (45% to challenger Oliver Larkin's 11%) with superior fundraising ($1.2 million cash on hand). The Republican primary remains fragmented among seven candidates, including high-fundraisers Scott Singer ($1.23 million cash), Joe Kaufman, and George Moraitis, diluting GOP strength. Mid-decade redistricting signed May 6 slightly bolstered the Democratic lean, positioning traders to bet on Moskowitz or the Democratic nominee prevailing in November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문