否定的なリスク 予測とオッズ

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Polymarket currently hosts 27 active markets for 否定的なリスク that lets you track or trade on predictions like "2月12日のビットコイン価格は？". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "2月12日のビットコイン価格は？," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "2月12日のビットコイン価格は？," where the crowd is currently assigning a 54% chance to 66,000～68,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 否定的なリスク predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket's accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for 否定的なリスク shift in real-time. It's a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like "2月12日のビットコイン価格は？" without ever needing to place a trade.

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Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the "Rules" section on any individual market page like "2月12日のビットコイン価格は？," to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.