Market icon

Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$741,782 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 New York City mayoral general election is greater than 9%. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Mamdani’s certified vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results.

This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections.

If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
音量
$741,782
終了日
Dec 31, 2025
作成日時
Nov 5, 2025, 5:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 New York City mayoral general election is greater than 9%. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Mamdani’s certified vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results. This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

Market icon

Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$741,782 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 New York City mayoral general election is greater than 9%. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Mamdani’s certified vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results.

This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections.

If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
音量
$741,782
終了日
Dec 31, 2025
作成日時
Nov 5, 2025, 5:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 New York City mayoral general election is greater than 9%. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Mamdani’s certified vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results. This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。