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Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?

Market icon

Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$3,614,988 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$3,614,988 Vol.

This is a market on how much 'Wicked' (2024) will gross domestically by January 9. The “Box Office” tab on https://the-numbers.com/movie/Wicked-(2024)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the total domestic gross for relevant dates are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This is a market on how much 'Wicked' will gross domestically by January 9, 2025. The “Box Office” tab found at the https://the-numbers.com/movie/Wicked-(2024)#tab=box-office link will be used to resolve this market, specifically the "Total Gross" column on the "Daily Box Office Performance" chart.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Wicked' grosses more than $500,000,000 domestically by January 9, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If any finalized numbers in the "Total Gross" column (for dates January 9, 2025 and before) show a value of more than $500 million, this market will resolve immediately to "Yes."

This market may only resolve to "No" once the January 9, 2025 "Total Gross" number is finalized, or if the January 9, 2025 date does not become available by January 16, the nearest previous date with available data.
音量
$3,614,988
終了日
Jan 9, 2025
マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2024, 5:55 PM ET
This is a market on how much 'Wicked' (2024) will gross domestically by January 9. The “Box Office” tab on https://the-numbers.com/movie/Wicked-(2024)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the total domestic gross for relevant dates are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This is a market on how much 'Wicked' will gross domestically by January 9, 2025. The “Box Office” tab found at the https://the-numbers.com/movie/Wicked-(2024)#tab=box-office link will be used to resolve this market, specifically the "Total Gross" column on the "Daily Box Office Performance" chart. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Wicked' grosses more than $500,000,000 domestically by January 9, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If any finalized numbers in the "Total Gross" column (for dates January 9, 2025 and before) show a value of more than $500 million, this market will resolve immediately to "Yes." This market may only resolve to "No" once the January 9, 2025 "Total Gross" number is finalized, or if the January 9, 2025 date does not become available by January 16, the nearest previous date with available data.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This is a market on how much 'Wicked' (2024) will gross domestically by January 9. The “Box Office” tab on https://the-numbers.com/movie/Wicked-(2024)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the total domestic gross for relevant dates are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This is a market on how much 'Wicked' will gross domestically by January 9, 2025. The “Box Office” tab found at the https://the-numbers.com/movie/Wicked-(2024)#tab=box-office link will be used to resolve this market, specifically the "Total Gross" column on the "Daily Box Office Performance" chart.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Wicked' grosses more than $500,000,000 domestically by January 9, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If any finalized numbers in the "Total Gross" column (for dates January 9, 2025 and before) show a value of more than $500 million, this market will resolve immediately to "Yes."

This market may only resolve to "No" once the January 9, 2025 "Total Gross" number is finalized, or if the January 9, 2025 date does not become available by January 16, the nearest previous date with available data.
音量
$3,614,988
終了日
Jan 9, 2025
マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2024, 5:55 PM ET
This is a market on how much 'Wicked' (2024) will gross domestically by January 9. The “Box Office” tab on https://the-numbers.com/movie/Wicked-(2024)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the total domestic gross for relevant dates are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This is a market on how much 'Wicked' will gross domestically by January 9, 2025. The “Box Office” tab found at the https://the-numbers.com/movie/Wicked-(2024)#tab=box-office link will be used to resolve this market, specifically the "Total Gross" column on the "Daily Box Office Performance" chart. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Wicked' grosses more than $500,000,000 domestically by January 9, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If any finalized numbers in the "Total Gross" column (for dates January 9, 2025 and before) show a value of more than $500 million, this market will resolve immediately to "Yes." This market may only resolve to "No" once the January 9, 2025 "Total Gross" number is finalized, or if the January 9, 2025 date does not become available by January 16, the nearest previous date with available data.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?" has generated $3.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.