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地政学·スプリームリーダー

トランプ大統領は...までにモジタバ・ハメネイ氏と話しますか？

Market icon
地政学·スプリームリーダー

トランプ大統領は...までにモジタバ・ハメネイ氏と話しますか？

$241,697 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$241,697 Vol.

Polymarket

3月31日

$226,126 Vol.

1%

4月30日

$10,393 Vol.

7%

6月30日

$5,178 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President-elect Donald Trump has signaled openness to direct diplomacy with Iran on nuclear issues and regional conflicts, potentially reviving "maximum pressure" tactics absent concessions, amid heightened Israel-Iran tensions from recent airstrikes and missile exchanges. However, Mojtaba Khamenei, second son of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and rumored successor, holds no official diplomatic position and operates discreetly behind the scenes, making direct talks unprecedented and unverified by any reports. No communications between Trump and Mojtaba have surfaced in the past 30 days, with U.S.-Iran contacts traditionally routed through State Department channels or intermediaries. Traders watch for inauguration on January 20 and early executive actions that could signal engagement timelines.

President-elect Donald Trump has signaled openness to direct diplomacy with Iran on nuclear issues and regional conflicts, potentially reviving "maximum pressure" tactics absent concessions, amid heightened Israel-Iran tensions from recent airstrikes and missile exchanges. However, Mojtaba Khamenei, second son of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and rumored successor, holds no official diplomatic position and operates discreetly behind the scenes, making direct talks unprecedented and unverified by any reports. No communications between Trump and Mojtaba have surfaced in the past 30 days, with U.S.-Iran contacts traditionally routed through State Department channels or intermediaries. Traders watch for inauguration on January 20 and early executive actions that could signal engagement timelines.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President-elect Donald Trump has signaled openness to direct diplomacy with Iran on nuclear issues and regional conflicts, potentially reviving "maximum pressure" tactics absent concessions, amid heightened Israel-Iran tensions from recent airstrikes and missile exchanges. However, Mojtaba Khamenei, second son of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and rumored successor, holds no official diplomatic position and operates discreetly behind the scenes, making direct talks unprecedented and unverified by any reports. No communications between Trump and Mojtaba have surfaced in the past 30 days, with U.S.-Iran contacts traditionally routed through State Department channels or intermediaries. Traders watch for inauguration on January 20 and early executive actions that could signal engagement timelines.

President-elect Donald Trump has signaled openness to direct diplomacy with Iran on nuclear issues and regional conflicts, potentially reviving "maximum pressure" tactics absent concessions, amid heightened Israel-Iran tensions from recent airstrikes and missile exchanges. However, Mojtaba Khamenei, second son of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and rumored successor, holds no official diplomatic position and operates discreetly behind the scenes, making direct talks unprecedented and unverified by any reports. No communications between Trump and Mojtaba have surfaced in the past 30 days, with U.S.-Iran contacts traditionally routed through State Department channels or intermediaries. Traders watch for inauguration on January 20 and early executive actions that could signal engagement timelines.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「トランプ大統領は...までにモジタバ・ハメネイ氏と話しますか？」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「6月30日」で8%、次いで「4月30日」が7%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、8¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に8%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ大統領は...までにモジタバ・ハメネイ氏と話しますか？」は$241.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 11, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ大統領は...までにモジタバ・ハメネイ氏と話しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「トランプ大統領は...までにモジタバ・ハメネイ氏と話しますか？」の現在のリーダーは「6月30日」でわずか8%、「4月30日」が7%で僅差です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ大統領は...までにモジタバ・ハメネイ氏と話しますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。