Market icon

Will Trump replace Hegseth with DeSantis by Friday?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$73,754 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump announces his new pick for Secretary of Defense is Ron DeSantis by December 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first individual picked by Trump to replace Hegseth as US Secretary of Defense - if another person is picked, or Hegseth isn't replaced at all, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Donald Trump, Pete Hegseth, Ron DeSantis, and these individuals' official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$73,754
終了日
Dec 6, 2024
作成日時
Dec 3, 2024, 10:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump announces his new pick for Secretary of Defense is Ron DeSantis by December 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first individual picked by Trump to replace Hegseth as US Secretary of Defense - if another person is picked, or Hegseth isn't replaced at all, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Donald Trump, Pete Hegseth, Ron DeSantis, and these individuals' official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump replace Hegseth with DeSantis by Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump replace Hegseth with DeSantis by Friday?" has generated $73.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump replace Hegseth with DeSantis by Friday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump replace Hegseth with DeSantis by Friday?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump replace Hegseth with DeSantis by Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Will Trump replace Hegseth with DeSantis by Friday?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$73,754 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump announces his new pick for Secretary of Defense is Ron DeSantis by December 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first individual picked by Trump to replace Hegseth as US Secretary of Defense - if another person is picked, or Hegseth isn't replaced at all, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Donald Trump, Pete Hegseth, Ron DeSantis, and these individuals' official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$73,754
終了日
Dec 6, 2024
作成日時
Dec 3, 2024, 10:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump announces his new pick for Secretary of Defense is Ron DeSantis by December 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first individual picked by Trump to replace Hegseth as US Secretary of Defense - if another person is picked, or Hegseth isn't replaced at all, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Donald Trump, Pete Hegseth, Ron DeSantis, and these individuals' official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump replace Hegseth with DeSantis by Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump replace Hegseth with DeSantis by Friday?" has generated $73.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump replace Hegseth with DeSantis by Friday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump replace Hegseth with DeSantis by Friday?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump replace Hegseth with DeSantis by Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.